TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdbbe…f1d5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
108
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Middle East, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 58 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$278.46
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$585.52
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$167.71
Will Iran strike Lebanon by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$277.2
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.91
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.2
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$245.14
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$545Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+37%+$201.69
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.1
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25%+$70
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+244.8%+$313.82
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$398.47
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$856.32
Iran Strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+81.8%+$86.85
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.8
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$196.84
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+33.3%+$49.5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+85.6%+$107.44
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.22
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+75.4%+$290.68
Will Trump say "Middle East" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$254.61
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$61.95
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$169
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+50.3%+$567.7
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$281Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220.44
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$157.44
Services Down Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.74
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$595Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$380.25
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.75
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$119.51
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$846
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$200.39
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$155.4
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.68
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.17
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$417.6
Will "Supreme Court" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$81.6
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+316.7%+$316.16
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+334.8%+$324.94
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.76
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$106.19
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$180.18
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$395.76
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+26.6%+$52.92
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.25
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$151.14
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$220.68
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+53.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-73%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+94.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+203%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+354.5%+$551.46
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$231.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+316.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$655.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+233.3%+$387.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+96.1%+$129.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+95.3%+$89.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffsbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$278.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jon Bonck be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BNK FEARX qualify to MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Bad Luck vs METANOIAGG (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Group Abacked METANOIAGG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$272.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Nothing" 3+ times during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,067.55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.