Middle East · resolved market
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e0e621f21099a443d0deebbb624c8cf2e40ff0ebb51d67576e4fe7070974f3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,961,067
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,954,987
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,961,067 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ad4…48d1backed Yes | 10c | 2,000,481$200,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200,342.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a73…c860backed Yes | 10c | 1,563,138$154,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154,408.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5418…d5e7backed Yes | 10c | 81,120$8,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,093.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…09d7backed Yes | 10c | 32,775$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f96…fa78backed Yes | 10c | 26,206$2,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,620.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…ea8fbacked Yes | 10c | 13,840$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae5…68e1backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 11c | 2,561$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…1829backed Yes | 9c | 2,353$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef37…f2bcbacked No | 77c | 2,253$1,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.63 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x454d…b6a8backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a25…30eebacked Yes | 8c | 1,930$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 51c | 1,903$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.53 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 75c | 1,816$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.34 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,578$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9c72backed Yes | 48c | 1,559$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.71 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…6447backed No | 55c | 1,542$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…ef3fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,530$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904a…3d8ebacked Yes | 8c | 1,518$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe723…14d2backed Yes | 9c | 1,517$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,490$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…b4ffbacked Yes | 9c | 1,460$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,413$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.58 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa457…1a93backed No | 75c | 1,332$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 51c | 1,328$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.93 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed No | 49c | 1,311$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.61 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 56c | 1,309$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 21c | 1,307$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.47 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed Yes | 45c | 1,307$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed Yes | 51c | 1,274$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,260$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked Yes | 51c | 1,217$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.67 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…2372backed Yes | 51c | 1,194$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.94 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c2…7f19backed No | 49c | 1,193$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.43 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.42per pick | 38cpaid | +140.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed No | 60c | 1,190$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.15 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…89d8backed Yes | 32c | 1,163$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf027…3f04backed No | 79c | 1,145$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.82 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 46c | 1,138$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 39c | 1,109$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.3 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +151%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…3a73backed No | 49c | 1,059$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 22c | 1,049$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked No | 48c | 1,039$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked No | 74c | 1,039$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 70c | 1,024$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +39%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,008$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.16 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed7…b0a5backed No | 78c | 1,004$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.88 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed No | 78c | 997$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…b072backed No | 59c | 992$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.72 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked Yes | 51c | 991$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.41 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked No | 49c | 991$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5440…7110backed Yes | 6c | 990$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…9756backed Yes | 51c | 983$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.33 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.35per pick | 44cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 71c | 978$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 49c | 967$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.17 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…4de0backed Yes | 6c | 964$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4e…c0cbbacked Yes | 6c | 960$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…5346backed Yes | 6c | 940$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 51c | 939$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.89 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a37…141abacked No | 61c | 933$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x367b…48dabacked No | 77c | 932$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.04 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96f…0276backed Yes | 6c | 930$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a41…1160backed Yes | 22c | 927$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.94 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c5…b4e1backed No | 70c | 926$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab23…29bdbacked Yes | 6c | 915$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed No | 49c | 904$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…36c4backed Yes | 6c | 902.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 51c | 897$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.47 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7546…2d93backed Yes | 22c | 896$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 23c | 889$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.47 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…c13fbacked Yes | 51c | 888$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 73c | 885$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.14 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked Yes | 51c | 882$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…4e8fbacked No | 78c | 877$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 22c | 877$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x326e…c7b9backed Yes | 23c | 868$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +37%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ff…bab6backed Yes | 22c | 868$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…4bffbacked Yes | 51c | 866$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…b418backed No | 49c | 866$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked No | 79c | 863$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.23 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…2550backed Yes | 28c | 860$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c9…bee7backed No | 49c | 858$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.58 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed No | 49c | 846$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…5aaebacked Yes | 25c | 819$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.75 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 22c | 817$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.74 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed Yes | 25c | 815$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 38c | 812$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.56 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9067…4563backed Yes | 5c | 810$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e57…6c04backed Yes | 24c | 810$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…7ffbbacked Yes | 9c | 809.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed Yes | 25c | 802.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…5907backed Yes | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked No | 49c | 791$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.41 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed No | 49c | 786$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.86 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…5dbfbacked Yes | 6c | 782$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…c447backed Yes | 6c | 782$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked Yes | 42c | 772$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…7763backed Yes | 25c | 768$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked No | 77c | 764$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked Yes | 19c | 753$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed No | 49c | 752$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 40cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?this page
- Israel x Syria security agreement by December 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by January 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by November 30?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by October 31?No won
- Israel x Syria security agreement by September 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.