TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22f2…90d7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Token Launches, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Token Launches at 57 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$879.57
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.8
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$182.4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.4
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.59
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$258.68
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$466Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.44
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$477.04
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$953.7
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.18
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$265.86
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.58
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.57
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.45
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$658Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.9
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.53
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78.02
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+426.3%+$1,180.17
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+212.5%+$187
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$428Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$428.49
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.8
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+669.2%+$556.8
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$516.56
Will the US next strike Iran on March 14, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$170.8
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3540%14 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$296.18
Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.28
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.86
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.32
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$343.97
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$111.3
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+300%+$1,168.61
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.51
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.81
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.15
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$244.61
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$413Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$253.08
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.2
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.7
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.12
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.36
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$298.77
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.35
Will Claude be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$94.24
Will "Apple TV" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$664.51
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.45 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$142.56
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+611.7%+$507.1
Will there be exactly 9 earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.18
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.72
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$165.46
Will April 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Will 140 to 169 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.62
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.08
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$1,111.8
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$859Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$859.17
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.28
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$426
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.48
Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$111.78
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.7
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$94.5
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$35.86
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+25%+$157
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.72
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+156.4%+$567.3
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$92.57
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$392Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$391.87
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$233.74
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.73
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$91.08
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.47
Will "Frankenstein" win exactly 3 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.36
Will "Hamnet" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.48
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 5 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$105.04
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.19
Will Nicole Kidman attend the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.46
Will "The Addams Family" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.04
Will "The Addams Family" be the top global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$607.68
Will "Sinners" win Outstanding Performance by a Cast in a Motion Picture at the 32nd Actor Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$226.71
Will Sinners win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+45%+$143.6
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cast in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$75.4
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+376.2%+$197.5
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+426.3%+$846.45
Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+42.7%+$202.72
Will "Wuthering Heights" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 18m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$110.88
Will "Hamnet" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+33.3%+$39.5
Will "Sentimental Value" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$116.87
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$118.02
All 21 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+47.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.53
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$420.76
Will Albania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.91
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$596Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$209.56
Will Kanye tweet again by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$203.4
Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.92
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$40.48
Will ‘The Fall-Off’ debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$55.9
Will Bad Bunny win 3 Grammys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+488.2%+$693.88
Will any artist win 5+ Grammys this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+117.4%+$272.7
Will "Ego Death At A Bachelorette Party - Hayley Williams" win Best Alternative Music Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$24.91
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+455.6%+$560.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-78.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+124.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+71.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+121%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+607.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$617.74
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$651.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+373.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+709.6%+$1,876.55
Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37%+$61.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Partizan vs. BC Dubaibacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$190.26
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$322.5
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Housing" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$230.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winnerbacked sleepers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$280.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$49.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.