Middle East · resolved market
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b3e53ab5bac8e7472ec7878f0db0d90c6bcf413c68f4ac1195f7208b7f4d75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $215,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,558
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $215,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd058…c532backed No | 44c | 72,234$32,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,167.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee7…d07abacked Yes | 56c | 72,213$40,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,154.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed No | 77c | 12,899$9,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.03 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541a…1740backed Yes | 20c | 2,752$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked Yes | 25c | 1,989$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.99 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd69…63f9backed Yes | 15c | 1,557$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,469$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed No | 80c | 1,352$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 22c | 1,296$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.78 | 78 | 17.9%14 W · 64 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…d7aabacked No | 80c | 1,277$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 1,237$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.12 | 589 | 27.2%160 W · 429 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,205$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked Yes | 25c | 1,193$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.1 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,019$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 221 | 7.2%16 W · 205 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7a…6875backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 75 | 20%15 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 17c | 992.02$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…454dbacked Yes | 43c | 948.77$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.88 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 27c | 918.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 36c | 847$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 63c | 769.05$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 64c | 691$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.24 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…e4c8backed Yes | 64c | 661$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.04 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.5wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x789d…d3bbbacked Yes | 16c | 613.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c3…00c8backed No | 33c | 548.24$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.59 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…8aaabacked Yes | 15c | 520.74$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.99 | 75 | 17.3%13 W · 62 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 487.52$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.9 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6339…141ebacked No | 56c | 470.55$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 37c | 422$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.86 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…59b4backed Yes | 31c | 416.63$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 200 | 35.5%71 W · 129 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 37c | 401$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.63 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa344…8141backed Yes | 32c | 380$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.25 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 26c | 374.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 368.21$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa04f…15babacked Yes | 12c | 363$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked Yes | 15c | 350$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 36c | 349$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 36c | 342$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed Yes | 64c | 338$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked Yes | 64c | 334$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes | 64c | 333$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed No | 69c | 330.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.24 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 36c | 329$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 36c | 328$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 64c | 315$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 36cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed No | 36c | 315$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked No | 36c | 313$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 35cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed Yes | 64c | 311$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked No | 36c | 311$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 36c | 309$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked Yes | 64c | 308$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 63c | 306.9$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 323 | 45.2%146 W · 177 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa151…13b4backed Yes | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed Yes | 15c | 286.67$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 17c | 270.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 38c | 260.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.36 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f94…7d96backed No | 78c | 256.4$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312b…e02bbacked Yes | 28c | 244.39$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.07 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…cf89backed Yes | 36c | 231.71$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 20c | 227.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 501 | 30.5%153 W · 348 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58c…8954backed No | 71c | 225$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…cfafbacked Yes | 24c | 223.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 36c | 223.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…7184backed No | 76c | 200.11$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 29c | 199.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 187.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d92…4eb8backed No | 71c | 162.44$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…6f4dbacked No | 18c | 156.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.17 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +44%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…f2d0backed Yes | 52c | 153.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.95 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2086…8ef7backed No | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 14c | 144.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070c…bcecbacked No | 75c | 143.83$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked No | 36c | 135$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…af18backed No | 76c | 128.42$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.01 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed No | 80c | 123$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +115.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…1a48backed Yes | 20c | 122.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6a…735abacked Yes | 10c | 116.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 28c | 112.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 75c | 111.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +14.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 11c | 107.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 129 | 18.6%24 W · 105 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb41…5a0dbacked Yes | 16c | 100.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82a…be8cbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 18c | 99.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…823bbacked No | 76c | 99.08$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99ba…6391backed Yes | 17c | 90.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 103 | 21.4%22 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a55bbacked Yes | 11c | 87.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 16c | 86.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 360 | 35.3%127 W · 233 L | -30.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 21c | 84.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.95 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…5e5dbacked Yes | 29c | 83.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…0b54backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…ec30backed Yes | 29c | 75.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc9…7c87backed Yes | 27c | 74.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…92fabacked Yes | 37c | 67.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x095e…4beebacked Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…1dc7backed Yes | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked No | 79c | 61.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…55b3backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea06…fb8dbacked Yes | 26c | 58.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…04cbbacked Yes | 18c | 56.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?this page
- Will USD fall to 1.3M Iranian rials by March 31?No won
- Will USD fall to 1.4M Iranian rials by March 31?No won
- Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by March 31?Yes won
- Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?Yes won
- Will USD reach 1.6M Iranian rials by March 31?No won
- Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.