TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6787…8884

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$179.5
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$90.64
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$201.6
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$98.75
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$542.3
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$96.83
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+733.3%+$711.92
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.87
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$200.64
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$305.81
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$146.72
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+127.3%+$137.2
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$71.25
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+63.9%+$186.42
Will Trump say "Hell" during meeting with Netanyahu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$198.85
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+194.1%+$207.24
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+51.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "One Battle After Another" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$253.76
Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$91.63
Will "President" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.05
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.89
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+58.7%+$213.12
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$337.77
Will Geeta Gandbhir - The Perfect Neighbor win Best Director of a Documentary Film at the 78th DGA Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$298.86
Will Wicked: For Good win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$188.63
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$235.28
Will The Perfect Neighbor be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$113.7
Will Wunmi Mosaku be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$506Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+134.4%+$679.96
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$409.5
Will Sean Penn (One Battle After Another) win Best Supporting Actor – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$50.31
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+82.8%+$170.78
All 15 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$611Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$610.75
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$535.95
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.8
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.5
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$187.17
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+112.8%+$296.8
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$74.2
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 5 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$108.96
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+44.9%+$87.73
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$43.6
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$172.36
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$189.07
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-48.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$144.76
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.24
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$25.23
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.63
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$206.98
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$331Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$186.12
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.72
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.16
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$93.61
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$318.13
All 12 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+75.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+117.4%+$33.48
Will Real Madrid advance to the round of 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+32.8%+$274.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$83.49
Over $22M committed to the Space public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$141.05
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camelsbacked Campbell Fighting Camels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$379Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$378.84
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$143.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$223.44
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+525%+$363.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrik Antonius win at Hustler Casino on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aurora qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$228.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,337Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$658.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$43.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump endorse Ken Paxton for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$74.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tyron Woodley win his boxing match against Anderson Silva?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$66.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$255.44
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.