Movies · resolved market
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1e66f0a7f21add2c20686a0b881d0c82e730a591f6cf5c7e5277303117ca950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $111,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,622
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 273 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 32c | 2,079$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.98 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 63c | 1,505$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.63 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed No | 55c | 1,429$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked No | 64c | 1,138$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.76 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +123%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 1,132$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked Yes | 36c | 1,125$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.5 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 44c | 1,112$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.64 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,072$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.48 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8153backed No | 66c | 1,023$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.82 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaa…b550backed Yes | 35c | 1,009$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 38c | 998$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 62c | 989$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.55 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 39c | 988$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354c…b301backed No | 61c | 974$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.86 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked Yes | 48c | 972$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.16 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 64c | 949$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…358fbacked No | 64c | 942$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed Yes | 37c | 936$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 38cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2e…7c01backed No | 62c | 927$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.46 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…7328backed Yes | 38c | 877$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe27…9623backed No | 62c | 852$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.76 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 64c | 846$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.06 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 62c | 839$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.82 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 38c | 838$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…e7d3backed No | 55c | 817$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.65 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked No | 62c | 813$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.83 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…29a4backed Yes | 51c | 809.06$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.62 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 15c | 791.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.84 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…ab94backed Yes | 35c | 791$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 13c | 778$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 38c | 773$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.74 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 48c | 749$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.48 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed Yes | 38c | 717$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.37 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed Yes | 38c | 716$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.08 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…b332backed No | 62c | 714$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked No | 65c | 697$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 50c | 654.1$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.93 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 54c | 648$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Yes | 35c | 637$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked No | 51c | 626$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…35bebacked Yes | 38c | 626$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 62c | 626$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.88 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 38c | 623$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.74 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…8884backed Yes | 38c | 616$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked Yes | 36c | 616$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.76 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…9ed1backed Yes | 36c | 611$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…6411backed No | 64c | 611$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 34cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73df…ba67backed No | 62c | 609$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.42 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 35c | 606$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fd…a3e1backed Yes | 41c | 597$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb6…5ea0backed Yes | 38c | 588$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed Yes | 52c | 581$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 35c | 579$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed Yes | 39c | 576$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd1…2bb3backed No | 62c | 567$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.7 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 63c | 557$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8e…9be8backed No | 63c | 553$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 49c | 544$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.56 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8737…2bffbacked No | 62c | 543$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 49c | 537$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.13 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…7260backed No | 62c | 537$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 59c | 536$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.76 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 38c | 535$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.83 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed No | 50c | 528$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.06 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 48c | 516$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…d310backed Yes | 39c | 513.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a75dbacked Yes | 34c | 501.93$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 57 | 26.3%15 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2247…96e8backed Yes | 45c | 491$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…67fbbacked No | 65c | 487$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed No | 51c | 484$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 12c | 479.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcde9…d705backed Yes | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd8…757abacked Yes | 44c | 458$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…7523backed No | 55c | 435$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.46 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 49c | 434$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.66 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4653…65c5backed No | 61c | 432$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.61 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed No | 52c | 430$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.95 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 51c | 425$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 33c | 424.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 64c | 413$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed Yes | 36c | 413$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 50c | 413$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.5 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3c…a29ebacked No | 62c | 411$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b2…ea4ebacked No | 62c | 408$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 65c | 406$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bc…2ad5backed Yes | 38c | 404$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 55c | 391$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.95 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked Yes | 37c | 387$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2e…fe02backed No | 64c | 384$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 38c | 382$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.16 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 56c | 379$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.76 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed No | 60c | 372.87$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 10c | 370$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked No | 65c | 370$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1897…c285backed No | 62c | 368.61$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 61c | 368$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.52 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 27c | 364$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.04 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes | 47c | 360$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.2 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…696fbacked No | 63c | 338$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed Yes | 47c | 338$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?this page
- Will Cynthia Erivo be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Eva Victor be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jennifer Lawrence be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jessica Lange be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Jessie Buckley be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Jodie Comer be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Julia Roberts be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will June Squibb be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Kate Hudson be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Lucy Liu be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
- Will Renate Reinsve be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Rose Byrne be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes won
- Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.