TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35d2…6698

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Commodities, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.42
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.64
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$266.06
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$234.6
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315.7
Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$549.96
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$128.2
Will the New Orleans Pelicans have the worst record in the NBA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.14
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$273.8
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$30.24
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$51.75
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.6
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.5
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$565.59
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$553.3
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+156.4%+$502.03
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$106.4
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.34
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.52
Will Israel strike 3 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$103.36
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+69.5%+$52.07
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.92
Will "Greenland" be said at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$939Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$280.6
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+44.9%+$22.63
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$95.2
Will Emma Stone be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65.52
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$222.95
Will Adam Sandler be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$40.56
Will Ariana Grande be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+64.3%+$161.3
Will Owen Cooper (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actor – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$184.23
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.92
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.62
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$134.32
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$92.25
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$96.26
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$124.08
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37%+$92.88
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$213.96
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$676.48
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+127.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-68.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+232.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$521Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$164.4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+433.7%+$631.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick16cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$144.59
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$81.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.82
Will Leléka win Vidbir 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$338.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.88per pick12cpaid+733.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$299.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$443.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash vs. New Haven Chargersbacked St. Francis (PA) Red Flash · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$496.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Indiana and Miami win their 2026 CFP semifinal games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+63.9%+$60.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiacos advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$148.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Christian Menefee win the Texas House special election runoff by 15% or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+41.8%+$202.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$617Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$164.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 2 knockdowns during Paul vs Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$120.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$181.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$132.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.