Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ed7843f74c93ea281977821e2bcadff0cd079e8a0cb9ed5f54e08762de29315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ilbirs eSportsof Ilbirs eSports, Level UP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,120 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Level UP | 49c | 2,520$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.81 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Ilbirs eSports | 48c | 2,385$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.21 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.26per pick | 37cpaid | +171.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Level UP | 30c | 1,594$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.79 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 1,109$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.45 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Level UP | 2c | 969$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Level UP | 27c | 888.13$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…f5aabacked Level UP | 30c | 871$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 848.31$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.22 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…8720backed Level UP | 32c | 836$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Level UP | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…5dc8backed Level UP | 30c | 790$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Level UP | 28c | 740.87$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.49 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159d…473dbacked Level UP | 31c | 738$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Level UP | 27c | 724.97$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.29 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…e56abacked Level UP | 32c | 705$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc70…fc46backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 660$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…8458backed Level UP | 33c | 654$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3f…3f83backed Level UP | 33c | 650$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf370…4f88backed Ilbirs eSports | 56c | 621.05$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26f…5ee9backed Level UP | 33c | 600$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…0cf5backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 588$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Level UP | 33c | 580$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b4…0f91backed Level UP | 33c | 580$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e87…0f4fbacked Level UP | 30c | 552$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1e…c62fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 534$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 533$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3b…bb7bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 520$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d2…6698backed Ilbirs eSports | 14c | 516$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0300…7bb4backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 488$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf7…12e5backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 460$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 410.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.27 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed64…3260backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 410$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc4…8f77backed Level UP | 36c | 397$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Ilbirs eSports | 65c | 386.72$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf7…4b3abacked Ilbirs eSports | 79c | 377.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 363.41$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.64 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…3effbacked Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 348$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb6…ad74backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 346$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c1…caabbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 337$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 313.16$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 313.1$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7302…d745backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 310$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Level UP | 41c | 309.86$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.24 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0087…fc86backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 308$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +145%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…c1e6backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 307$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…b73cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 304$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Level UP | 20c | 302.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.12 | 94 | 34%32 W · 62 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…ae14backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…c447backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 273.71$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.35 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa984…a134backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 271$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7518…28babacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 270$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…e247backed Level UP | 37c | 268$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…9ae3backed Ilbirs eSports | 58c | 257.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…1941backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 248$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9a…4215backed Ilbirs eSports | 68c | 245$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…604abacked Level UP | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Ilbirs eSports | 62c | 234.79$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…ff11backed Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 223$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 77c | 210.33$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.1 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Ilbirs eSports | 60c | 202.94$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…f10bbacked Ilbirs eSports | 64c | 202.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Level UP | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…efb9backed Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 190$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57e…ed54backed Ilbirs eSports | 57c | 175.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Level UP | 42c | 161.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.69 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…88ccbacked Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 161.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Ilbirs eSports | 54c | 155.98$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709b…0a2dbacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Level UP | 36c | 150$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 176 | 38.6%68 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Ilbirs eSports | 61c | 150$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…9d12backed Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Level UP | 27c | 149.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.49 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a0…47e0backed Ilbirs eSports | 63c | 139$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 130.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…f94fbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…e981backed Ilbirs eSports | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Ilbirs eSports | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Level UP | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Level UP | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Ilbirs eSports | 69c | 99.52$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.52 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf611…a162backed Level UP | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f9…4937backed Level UP | 34c | 87.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38c…f491backed Level UP | 37c | 78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…c922backed Level UP | 29c | 77.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -7.4wins | -0.34per pick | 43cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Level UP | 39c | 74.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Level UP | 37c | 60.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Ilbirs eSports | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…7ed7backed Level UP | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17dd…a9f1backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Level UP | 37c | 59.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Level UP | 34c | 58.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c77…6747backed Level UP | 44c | 56.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | -9.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4a…eeaebacked Ilbirs eSports | 53c | 54.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Ilbirs eSports | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ff…8775backed Ilbirs eSports | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Level UP | 48c | 44.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Level UP | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Ilbirs eSports | 59c | 39.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Level UP (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Level UP - Game 1 WinnerIlbirs eSports won
- Game Handicap: ILL (-1.5) vs Level UP (+1.5)Level UP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.