TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 155 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f3d…9ef2backed No73c1,080$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.6742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+30.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6578…ba32backed Yes18c771$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.511952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xccc2…271abacked No73c697$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.191566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ec2…15bbbacked No27c685.45$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+264.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes35c657$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.582040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfa…4578backed Yes27c596$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9ea…a152backed Yes71c583.85$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.262339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa938…a1ffbacked No51c576$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.123132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-35%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked No43c540$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.091080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+109%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed No34c503$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.922944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x993c…eae0backed No60c495$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5322…95e1backed Yes27c492$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.84933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+52.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…4ca3backed Yes27c432$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.64450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick25cpaid+143.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54d5…b5cebacked No70c420$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.62334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes68c408$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.442227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick42cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6546…c454backed Yes27c408$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.161478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+142.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2fbf…7328backed Yes27c392$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.841735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes11c387$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.222236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9322…01e3backed Yes58c382$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.56837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+90.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes22c377.06$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7319011.6%22 W · 168 L-0.4wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4657…00d6backed No26c377$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.481050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes11c369$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.812540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed Yes73c352$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.73728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-59.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes32c335.1$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.232737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed Yes40c328$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No33c304$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.611850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb132…6943backed Yes36c291$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.721136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fcd…0c32backed Yes11c290$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No27c284$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.322343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes74c279$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.462934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x509a…2287backed Yes49c278.24$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf416…6ec9backed Yes54c277.62$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.989850%49 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x130f…fc43backed Yes7c273$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf06d…db77backed Yes23c267$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.251844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed Yes12c247$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18fa…3730backed No73c246$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.421361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+53.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2ff…b38fbacked No31c245$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.05850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f2…55d9backed Yes13c243$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.59540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x997f…b3c2backed No72c240$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290d…9e42backed Yes52c238$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.641428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes46c235$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.891118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-68.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No65c235$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.572839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed No25c234$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a8…2a44backed No73c227$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf977…aff0backed Yes11c217$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.871861.1%11 W · 7 L+5.4wins+0.30per pick31cpaid+144.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x322a…3274backed No59c213$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6cb…ac3dbacked Yes74c208$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.92742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No32c205.13$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.492958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2064…e748backed Yes9c203$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.27837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39be…5e7bbacked No45c201$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.631060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf528…4441backed No43c188$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.42742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f6…595cbacked No70c187$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.151145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+31.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d17…1e5ebacked Yes63c186.01$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.192142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8b…657dbacked No54c184.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.87540%2 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick26cpaid-23%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3214…f00ebacked Yes10c183$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a8…1f07backed Yes69c183$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.271428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1056…5b18backed Yes11c179$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.691936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No21c177.43$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1747938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes9c169$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x71f6…ea40backed Yes11c162$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.821050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b63…52cfbacked Yes11c161$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.71837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3506…4815backed No50c157$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed No73c157$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No51c156$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.442737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa44b…eb27backed No42c154$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.321338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed Yes10c154$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf51b…bf74backed Yes28c149$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.721942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes68c147.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009447.9%45 W · 49 L-7.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-23.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x69f2…464cbacked Yes75c146.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab38…77febacked No31c146$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.741637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b8…615cbacked Yes10c145.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4e…aa5abacked Yes69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.05933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes40c145$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+33.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9099…8491backed Yes62c144.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.347852.6%41 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c9…6bdebacked Yes12c143$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.161533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2a8…9b29backed No26c141$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.341741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d2…6698backed No73c137$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+127.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02ee…5adebacked Yes39c136.42$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes8c135$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82931%9 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9be1…cb56backed Yes12c133$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.96933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed Yes69c132$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.081136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed No52c132$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.361181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick57cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2795…6811backed Yes9c126$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.341154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Yes48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.62638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b4…c17abacked No34c118$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.01742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e29…d190backed Yes13c115$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1d4…8cf7backed No37c108$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes66c104.92$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.2wins-0.36per pick58cpaid-63.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes73c103$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.192339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No29c102$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.422254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fd5…f4f1backed No74c101.4$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.46100%6 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes50c101.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4789317.1%153 W · 740 L-144.9wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-61.3%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x293b…09a9backed Yes22c101$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+52.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes72c100$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245738.9%178 W · 279 L-31.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1457426.8%154 W · 420 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb97…b54dbacked No76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0cc5…aeb8backed Yes11c98$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes28c97$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.16742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+22.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e35…384fbacked No26c97$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.781833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes71c96$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.161030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.