TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe335…cd12

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
112
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Movies, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT2250%11 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$186.84
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$184.22
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+212.7%+$148.28
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$249.15
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$43.16
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+166.3%+$457.12
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$71.36
Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.55
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$45.24
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.23
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$41.16
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.69
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.92
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.94
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win more than 35.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$83.16
Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.91
Will the Orlando Magic win more than 51.5 regular season games in 2025–26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.65
Will Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$60.8
Will Jonathan Kuminga be traded this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$52.08
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$51.33
All 22 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$423.62
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.66
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.91
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$29
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.9%+$63.39
Will Amanda Seyfried be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$77.2
Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$25.6
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+212.5%+$56.44
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.56
Will No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$177.46
Will Train Dreams be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+222.6%+$51.06
Will Elle Fanning be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+61.3%+$99.56
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$339.57
Will "People We Meet on Vacation" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+75.4%+$69.66
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 27m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$63.84
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$452Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+47.1%+$212.8
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$67.26
Will "Sarah Silverman: Postmortem" win Best Performance in Stand-Up Comedy on Television?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+33.3%+$43.5
Will Hannah Einbinder (Hacks) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+29.9%+$72.45
All 19 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$13.42
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.23
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$416.67
Will Israel strike ≥4 countries in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$230.86
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$80.64
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$299.41
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$332.64
Will Israel strike Iraq by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.84
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$32.34
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$382.84
Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.96
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.68
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.24
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$80.66
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$26.95
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$441Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$441.42
Google Gemini Parlaybacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$214Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+38.7%+$82.85
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150.75
Will diVine launch iOS app by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$91.08
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$56.96
Will Terence Crawford be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST+300%+$78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$650.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$31.92
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$546Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$411.91
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+334.8%+$194.04
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$48.75
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$114
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.98
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54.58
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+284.6%+$35.52
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in November 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$61.77
All 10 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$150.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$196.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Glasner be appointed as manager of Manchester United?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$235.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$125.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.