Movies · resolved market
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x209731a58f9d783f7d1d5c9bad1a3440ce36d5799dae2c41575ad447d4270ef7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,025
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,025 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd242…e84dbacked No | 13c | 2,194$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…99ebbacked No | 5c | 1,340$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 16c | 911.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.99 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 12c | 690.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.75 | 56 | 7.1%4 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Yes | 77c | 683.18$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.28 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 681.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 50c | 567$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.06 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed No | 63c | 539$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.57 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 62c | 525$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 487.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed Yes | 38c | 454$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.48 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 6c | 393.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 37c | 388$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf946…d542backed Yes | 75c | 349.09$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed Yes | 38c | 326$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.12 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 65c | 309.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 302.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 116 | 4.3%5 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 16c | 264.89$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 7c | 236.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 210.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 201 | 3.5%7 W · 194 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 206$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 204 | 2.9%6 W · 198 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 58c | 172$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 37c | 164$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed No | 62c | 155$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8308…ca4bbacked No | 70c | 144$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…9c20backed Yes | 44c | 134.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 62c | 130$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38fc…c078backed Yes | 45c | 129.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 27c | 112.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.37 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 25c | 81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 60c | 77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +14.1wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 36c | 52.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7b…19f1backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…2648backed Yes | 38c | 30.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)this page
- Will "Run Away" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
- Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.