TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79c1…497d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
980
Categories scored
35
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: Boxing, grading 63 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Boxing at 63 out of 100; worst Stocks at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT13130.5%40 W · 91 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$120.67
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+267.4%+$107.97
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+215.4%+$93.37
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+176.6%+$268.18
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.8
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.66
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$539Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$150.27
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.2
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.56
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.78
Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$74.82
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$880Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$879.9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$73.58
Will Timothée Chalamet win Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$289.96
Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12.98
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$564Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+53.6%+$302.67
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$424.71
Will "Melania" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$37.62
Will Greenland 2: Migration make 25 million or more domestically by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$140.57
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25.85
Will "Mercy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11350.4%57 W · 56 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 113 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.66
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$43.34
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$21.21
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$35
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$731.54
Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.92
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.51
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.4
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$126.79
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+87.3%+$28.1
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+116.3%+$278.59
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.29
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+364.9%+$39.37
Fact Check: is L.A. U-Haul attack perp a U.S. Citizen?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$184.79
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+44.7%+$99.98
Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Nothing Ever Happens: Khameneibacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+172.9%+$198.34
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+70.4%+$81.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.09
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$62.2
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$38.6
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+129.1%+$609.62
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$524Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+67.9%+$355.96
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,356Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+94.5%+$1,281.71
Showing 25 of 113 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT9942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$341.61
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$17.67
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$144.24
Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.35
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Space FDV above $80M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.62
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$68.57
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$81
Octra FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+375.5%+$104.56
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$515Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.32
EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.12
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$397.55
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.96
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$47.7
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.88
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.64
Paradex FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17.27
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$50.52
Paradex FDV above $750M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+28.3%+$2.86
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$384.4
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$93.23
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT9026.7%24 W · 66 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 90 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+411.1%+$375.35
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.94
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.38
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will Vertiv Holdings (VRT) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+38%+$32.78
Will Ciena (CIEN) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+152.4%+$281.57
Will Amazon reach $268 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+44.9%+$6.2
Will Google reach $355 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+50.7%+$35.2
Will Tesla reach $495 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+52.1%+$31.81
Will Tesla reach $510 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.67
Will Opendoor reach $9.25 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.45
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$96.05
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $240 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.73
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $100 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.14
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $450 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+184.1%+$441.79
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $465 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+103%+$224.02
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$358Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$357.91
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$67.7
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$110.49
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+566.7%+$170
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$256
Will Meta (META) close above $720 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$322.91
Will Meta (META) close above $620 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+108.7%+$100.74
Showing 25 of 90 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT7244.4%32 W · 40 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.02
Megaquake by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+30.2%+$112.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+42.4%+$129.66
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$234.66
Will January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$111.01
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+56.7%+$228.1
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$152.87
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+102.2%+$221
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+45.4%+$37.54
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+50.5%+$191.11
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$487.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on January 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$40.08
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+58.7%+$37
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 50-51°F on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$93.53
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+523.7%+$188.64
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 46°F or higher on January 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30.19
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 32°C or below on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$14.51
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$28.39
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 36°F or higher on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69.6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on January 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+30.1%+$41.63
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15.78
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+95.8%+$251.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on January 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$350.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on January 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+35.8%+$77
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+116.4%+$351.53
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$353.43
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.67
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.96
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.54
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+174.2%+$302.12
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.49
Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.71
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$84.93
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$249Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.13
Will Phan Văn Giang be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+44%+$302.72
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.52
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.15
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+463.2%+$96.89
Will Avi Lewis win the Canadian NDP Leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.13
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.72
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$443.73
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$353.15
Will Natthaphong Ruengpanyawut be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$109.82
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.65
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+35%+$86.29
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.93
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.31
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+279.8%+$236.51
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+135.2%+$345.22
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.28
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$65
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$116.59
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$35.84
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+206.6%+$43.8
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.86
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$243.96
Grok 5 released by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.6%+$158.76
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.68
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$118.01
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.64
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.6
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.54
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+386%+$79.4
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$20.87
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$140.19
GPT ads by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+83.1%+$194.42
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+188.4%+$148.27
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+64%+$20.09
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.54
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.54
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.39
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$483Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$483.34
Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.99
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.69
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.77
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+39.6%+$33.47
Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+271.8%+$222.9
Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$83
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$60.36
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.73
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.24
Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.88
Will Stephen Curry lead the NBA in three pointers made during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$136.96
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$141.21
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.24
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$60.31
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025–2026 NBA Central Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.17
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT3839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.92
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+86.2%+$188.44
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.64
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$141.75
Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.27
Will the Rams win the NFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$625Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+36.5%+$228.55
Will the Broncos win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,088Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+38.7%+$421.08
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.04
Will DEN/SEA/NE/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$124.09
Scorigami in Week 2 of NFL Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.53
Will DEN/SEA/HOU/LAR win their 2026 NFL Divisional Round games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+36.7%+$11.77
Will the Seattle Seahawks be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.9
Will the Denver Broncos be eliminated in the Divisional Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+88.9%+$94.1
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$934Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+28.3%+$264.22
Will Mike Kafka be fired by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$62.89
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$84.4
Will Mike Tomlin be fired by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+215.6%+$99.72
Will the Los Angeles Chargers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$27.53
Will the San Francisco 49ers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+340.1%+$96.6
Will the Philadelphia Eagles be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Will the Buffalo Bills be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+129.7%+$124.49
Will the Carolina Panthers be eliminated in the Wild Card Round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$11.39
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.39
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.65
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$4.96
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$34.96
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.29
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.41
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$94.87
Will Ukraine join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.28
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$22
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.02
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.48
Nuclear weapon detonation by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.23
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+122%+$237.7
Will Russia capture Rodynske by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$142.64
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$59.86
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+51.3%+$67.77
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$87.51
Ukraine hits Moscow by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$37.82
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.6%+$40.4
Will Russia capture Rodynske by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+63.3%+$153.2
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+36.1%+$105.11
Will Russia enter Toretske by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.26
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+81.2%+$363.41
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST3060%18 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$234.46
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+34.7%+$43.68
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+27.8%+$42.57
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+39%+$115.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$208.94
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.4%+$118.67
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+45.3%+$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25.5%+$34.43
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+66%+$794.34
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,178.19
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+41.1%+$146.92
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$884Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+38%+$336.3
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+84%+$829.02
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,083Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$1,082.82
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$274.26
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.36
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+30.2%+$28.19
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.9%+$163.5
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$3,059Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+67.9%+$2,077.89
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$1,099.7
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$940Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37.5%+$352.72
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$674Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$673.57
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,551Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+48.3%+$748.35
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,173.4
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$977Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+39.3%+$384.22
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2969%20 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.74
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.38
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$42.82
Venezuela coup attempt by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$129.59
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.8%+$11.84
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$83.13
Will there be nine or ten announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+25.5%+$57.13
Will there be eleven or more announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.8%+$326.76
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.54
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+80%+$34.97
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+73.2%+$30.36
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+68%+$159.47
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+26.5%+$32.51
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$155.78
Will Trump and Machado not shake hands?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$491.21
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,121Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+65.5%+$734.41
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$19.31
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$39.95
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+72.5%+$322.07
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+142.7%+$147
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+101.3%+$1,125.47
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+39.2%+$77.28
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+61%+$318.72
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+73.3%+$322.16
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Silver (SI) settle over $140 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.01
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.75
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.3%+$17.16
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,053Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+45.1%+$475.17
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$126.5
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$628Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+29.4%+$184.69
Will Gold (GC) settle at <$4,350 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$925Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.4%+$309.1
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$4,725 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+27.5%+$86.35
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$85 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+30.3%+$84.17
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+71%+$180.58
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$66.08
Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$61.99
Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$99.56
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,400 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$75.87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$23.96
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.4%+$29.19
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Silver · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+41%+$66.92
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+82.7%+$59.57
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,700 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+64.3%+$111.21
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+75.2%+$67.63
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT2055%11 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+36.3%+$64.8
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.04
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$43.74
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$12.98
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$347Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$153
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.42
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.61
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$45.73
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$263.24
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.05
Will Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$39.13
Will Ken Paxton come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$144.33
Will John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+98.2%+$98.95
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Will Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+69.8%+$75.47
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+29.5%+$40.17
Will Christian Menefee win TX-18 Special Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$144.01
Will Mills flip Platner for Maine Dem Senate Primary Winner by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.23
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+160.8%+$72.6
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$10.92
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+252.2%+$29.78
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+401%+$799.75
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+45.9%+$200.3
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28%+$211.8
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+50.4%+$54.99
Trump cabinet member out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.3%+$25
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+316.7%+$76
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$171.4
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.72
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44%+$93.27
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.52
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+87.3%+$214.55
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$164.6
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$56.5
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.07
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$53.42
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$17.8
Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$271.96
All 19 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fox Corp (FOXA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$15.93
Will Moog (MOG.A) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$51.96
Will American Airlines (AAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40.37
Will Bank First (BFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Will Kinder Morgan (KMI) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$39.8
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$43.8
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.03
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+86.1%+$13.42
Will Mercantile Bank (MBWM) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.46
Will State Street (STT) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+51.5%+$135.35
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.26
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$43.38
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$92.53
Will Citigroup (C) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$137.67
Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+33%+$94.47
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$53.56
Will Delta Air Lines (DAL) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+484.4%+$144.5
Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.91
Will Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) beat quarterly earnings?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$459.6
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.19
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$6.18
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+189.9%+$127.08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$114.38
Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.04
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.05
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+41.6%+$215.31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$106.75
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+42.7%+$44.22
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+64.1%+$227.01
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?backed US Strikes Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.32
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$78.66
All 13 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+108.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
Boxing — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+546.3%+$138.86
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $18 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$13.15
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+468.8%+$526.35
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+106.1%+$471.13
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+103.6%+$412.52
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $8 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+41.7%+$219.3
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+30.6%+$29.87
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1.1m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+67.5%+$179.16
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+27.3%+$59.96
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,034Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+49.8%+$514.53
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+61%+$90.06
All 12 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$618Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+75.4%+$465.97
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+48.5%+$69.73
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$158.08
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$132.91
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$118.02
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$110.35
Will monthly inflation be between 2.4% and 2.6% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+203%+$22.47
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$357Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+48.4%+$173.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$63.35
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+48.4%+$203.67
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+75.8%+$50.49
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 Grammy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.49
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$340.79
Will "Man's Best Friend - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Pop Vocal Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+30.8%+$47.15
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.8%+$181.78
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 75k and 100k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+70%+$24.79
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 100k and 125k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.4
Will I Just Might - Bruno Mars be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$83.37
Will The Fate Of Ophelia by Taylor Swift be the Billboard #1 song for the week of January 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+104.3%+$136.23
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$190.78
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$27.25
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$21.8
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35.04
All 12 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+89.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.14
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$139.3
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.38
Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.34
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+689.5%+$262
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+184.6%+$65.98
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.33
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+212%+$407.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+63.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will $MARU reach $1B in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+85%+$59.25
Will BNB reach $1000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.56
Will Hyperliquid hit $30 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+206.5%+$25.22
All 3 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 12 or more launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$77.91
Will SpaceX have exactly 11 launches in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+101.2%+$70.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+117.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+335.3%+$154.05
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lionel Messi announce his retirement in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The American Express tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$79.17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.