Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda66c20ca25d623bd0fa83ae36af6cb3cf523977643f4a3fa23bb55c71f853a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a1c…efafbacked Yes | 8c | 63,429$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860.16 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79ed…0de6backed Yes | 29c | 20,731$6,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,112.66 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked No | 70c | 7,326$5,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,185.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 3,134$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.87 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 70c | 2,542$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.32 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…c340backed Yes | 6c | 1,566$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 16c | 1,356$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.17 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8797…bbbebacked No | 68c | 720$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.54 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 630.74$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 20c | 538$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.12 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 72c | 522.37$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.33 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 69c | 500$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…112fbacked Yes | 5c | 416.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 75c | 412$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.35 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 23c | 366.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…596dbacked No | 77c | 322.2$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed No | 70c | 267.14$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 11c | 255$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2177…3fb4backed No | 70c | 250$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 75c | 235.77$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed No | 71c | 228$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 14c | 204.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 72c | 200$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 10c | 191.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed Yes | 13c | 187.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 13c | 181.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 22c | 176.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 13c | 173.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 171.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked Yes | 13c | 167.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 166.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed Yes | 13c | 163$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…ca08backed Yes | 14c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe356…63bcbacked Yes | 14c | 139.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd084…27eabacked No | 70c | 138.14$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…b6c4backed No | 74c | 124.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 124.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 87 | 18.4%16 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 115.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 78c | 114.88$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 100.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…98d8backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked No | 77c | 96.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 22c | 91.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 14.8%12 W · 69 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed No | 70c | 88.57$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497d…944cbacked Yes | 14c | 77.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 72c | 71.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb6…f660backed Yes | 23c | 66.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f3…bb19backed No | 76c | 59.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…59b2backed No | 70c | 56.24$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa46…4a23backed No | 70c | 53.36$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 72c | 50.89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe52…32c5backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 22c | 47.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…6d71backed No | 79c | 22.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c4…622fbacked No | 71c | 21.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…2398backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b0…2a3fbacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…406bbacked No | 79c | 17.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5660…27e6backed No | 70c | 16.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 75c | 14.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…f64ebacked No | 78c | 12.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.