TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdf08…cf97

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
749
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: China Taiwan, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category China Taiwan at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 31.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT12433.1%41 W · 83 L-12.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.83
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.4%+$12.44
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.64
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+114.9%+$14.23
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
U.S. evacuates Jerusalem embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$7.12
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28%+$9.84
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+59%+$8.6
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.92
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.94
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+140.6%+$28.28
Trump invokes War Powers against Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.29
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+200%+$25.33
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+195.3%+$41.15
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+114.5%+$14.62
Will Israel strike 2 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.74
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+216.2%+$29.83
US downs another Iranian drone by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.04
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.64
Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.88
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.49
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+263.8%+$42.99
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT9339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 93 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$11.27
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+84.7%+$18.72
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$2.96
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$4.25
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$16.7
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$5.62
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Will the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+127%+$13.48
Will Resni.ca (Res) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+87.1%+$9.31
Will the Democratic Party of Korea win 6 or 7 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$13.4
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+258.4%+$52.9
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.91
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.92
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+94%+$16.45
Canada recession before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.79
Will Daniel Ennis win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+55.4%+$6.78
Will the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (ADMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.17
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.8
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$17.06
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$4.71
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$19.08
Showing 25 of 93 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT8720.7%18 W · 69 L-19.3wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-64.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
AI — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.24
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$26.84
Will Waymo launch in Detroit by June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$5.27
Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.33
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$15.96
Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.95
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+107%+$22.52
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$6.42
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.07
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.46
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.33
Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.35
Will Sergey Brin be 3rd richest person on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$9.1
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$6.37
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.84
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.94
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT7215.3%11 W · 61 L-17.0wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-75.8%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cap FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.98
Will MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$18.34
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+184.9%+$20.77
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$14.57
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$4.48
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.41
Yellow FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.27
Paradex FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12.77
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.37
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.13
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.28
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.22
Fabric FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.17
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.49
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+65.8%+$10.73
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.93
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.3
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6619.7%13 W · 53 L-14.5wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
Movies — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will A Minecraft Movie be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$6.21
Will Zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.02
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$7
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will The Secret Agent win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$3.92
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+58.5%+$19.09
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.09
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 7 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.54
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 6 awards at the Oscars?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+174%+$22.7
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Will The Pitt win Best Producer of a TV Drama Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.12
Will Violet Bridgerton get engaged in Bridgerton: Season 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$24.11
Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+111%+$15.78
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 53m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$13.18
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$30.49
Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 59m and 65m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.42
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 17m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
Will "Crime 101" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$14.07
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 23m and 26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.81
Will "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 26m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$57.55
Will "Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$17.97
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT6243.5%27 W · 35 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Tweets — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+153.4%+$43.22
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$6.37
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+42%+$6.68
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$4.99
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$10.76
Will White House post 180-199 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.33
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$16.42
Will Khamenei post 0-19 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$7.3
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+68.2%+$24.34
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.95
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.58
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+43.2%+$15.09
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15.43
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.99
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.16
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.09
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4916.3%8 W · 41 L-9.8wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$4.21
Will Ghislaine Maxwell Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.04
Will Lord Peter Mandelson Testify to Congress about Epstein?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+60.6%+$11.32
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+258.2%+$26.95
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.66
Will Dick Durbin vote "Yea" on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.43
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.57
Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$26.39
Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.32
Will Barack Obama be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.7%+$11.88
Will Ellen Degeneres be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.01
Will Hillary Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.86
Will Bill Gates be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Will Alan Dershowitz be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.45
Will Bill or Hillary Clinton be held in contempt of Congress by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.99
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$36.35
Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Peter Attia out by February 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+94.3%+$9.52
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.82
Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.39
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$21.19
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT3938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$3.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.4
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+71.3%+$21.52
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$5.85
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.02
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.2%+$23.33
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.28
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15.92
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$35.48
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$12.36
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.03
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will there be at least 1,200 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16.49
Will there be at least 1,150 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.3
Will there be at least 1,100 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Will there be at least 1,050 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.35
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$31.21
Will there be 18–20 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.12
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.36
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+149.8%+$37.25
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+43.9%+$6.16
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT329.4%3 W · 29 L-7.9wins-0.25per pick34cpaid-84.6%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$8.28
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will India join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.07
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+90.5%+$23.75
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28.3
Will Russia enter Kindrashivka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.49
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$21.45
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.53
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+54%+$5.65
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.82
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.44
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.55
Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.3
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.26
Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$27.43
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.26
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Drake officially release Iceman by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$20.32
Will Bad Bunny have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be at least 40k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+39.4%+$8.48
Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+37.7%+$13.87
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$36.44
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.28
Will Good Job Nicky win Sing for Greece 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.37
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.58
Will Choosin’ Texas by Ella Langley be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$41.55
Will Man I Need by Olivia Dean be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+76.8%+$26.18
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$10.33
Will Aperture by Harry Styles be the Billboard #1 song for the week of February 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.49
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$29.95
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$5.35
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+25%+$4
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.02
Will "DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS - Bad Bunny" win Best Música Urbana Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$14.55
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$29.75
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.3%+$6.9
Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+37%+$3.78
Will Edgar Barrera win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+30.9%+$18.9
Will Kanye release BULLY by January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$17.85
Will "End of Beginning - Djo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.86
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be at least 200k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$13.88
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+25%+$3
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$3.7
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$8.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.41
Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.49
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.19
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.42
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$7.35
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$8.31
Will 40-44 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.96
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$8.17
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$10.01
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$43.45
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.14
Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+32%+$5.82
Will John Hickenlooper be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.1%+$2.68
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+103%+$27.9
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$5.31
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.96
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$5.7
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.13
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.79
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.96
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+347.8%+$38.83
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+36.6%+$4.56
Will Daniel Crenshaw be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.36
Will Steve Toth be the Republican Nominee for TX-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16.2
Will Donald Trump make no endorsement or endorse someone other than Ken Paxton, John Cornyn, or Wesley Hunt for the Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$22.5
2026 U.S. House Election: Republican Odds under 15% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+83%+$14.52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
Will Powell say "Collect" or "Collected" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Powell say "Not our job" during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+41.3%+$4.4
Will Powell say "Dollar" 2+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 3+ times during March press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.1
Will two people dissent the March Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+164.4%+$16.91
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.93
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10.65
Fed cuts 25 bps in March Odds >15% by February 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.21
Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$31.39
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$41.13
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$16.79
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+146%+$37.8
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.79
All 15 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.41
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$19.31
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in February 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.60–2.70 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.1%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$19.11
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$23.02
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+41.4%+$5.72
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$70.75
Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+35.6%+$20.59
Will monthly inflation be between 2.3% and 2.5% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.47
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$39.42
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+73.4%+$7.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.16
Will un x100to be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$13.99
Will La Santa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Will Callaita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.94
Will Neverita be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$25.8
Will LA MUDANZA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+165.6%+$26.54
Will Ojitos Lindos be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.3%+$11.12
Will La Jumpa be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.69
Will PERRO NEGRO be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.64
Will MIA be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.73
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.83
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
All 12 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-78.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$16.22
Will the US embassy in Venezuela reopen by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21.27
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14.25
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.11
Will there be seven or eight announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.69
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.06
Will there be five or six announced new U.S. armed forces strikes against drug boats by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.46
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
U.S. forces seize another oil ship by January 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google say "Wiz" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$19.13
Will Google say "Autonomous" during earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+86.3%+$13.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.