Music · resolved market
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68b3ecbea4b2819e4d25270bfe394245a8550556aac19c79e62648f385dc5a59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,625
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 3,745$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 79c | 3,400$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.92 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed No | 20c | 1,300$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.37 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 71c | 949.3$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.38 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 16c | 903.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.64 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 13c | 848$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed No | 27c | 753$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 40c | 741.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.81 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…0176backed Yes | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 73c | 689$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 17c | 489.69$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed No | 40c | 428.79$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa098…81e4backed No | 24c | 393$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed Yes | 76c | 391$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +58%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd091…e046backed No | 24c | 391$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 9c | 359.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.73 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 16c | 342.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…eb63backed Yes | 57c | 311.7$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cee…f962backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +158.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 21c | 194.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…d190backed No | 13c | 187$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…c931backed Yes | 70c | 172.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 141.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…20c4backed Yes | 79c | 127.19$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 65c | 125.52$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked No | 24c | 121$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 22c | 118.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 62c | 115.95$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 68c | 105.51$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1142…0e42backed No | 13c | 92.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 90.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4972…2cc8backed Yes | 67c | 81.7$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed No | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…99aebacked Yes | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed No | 21c | 65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked Yes | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 28c | 49.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…b357backed Yes | 69c | 41.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 78c | 38.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…38d4backed Yes | 64c | 32.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99da…4b0ebacked Yes | 72c | 25.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…bac6backed Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e10…291ebacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…c524backed Yes | 61c | 19.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…89f3backed Yes | 71c | 18.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Yes | 75c | 17.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?this page
- Will Evangelia win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
- Will Good Job Nicky win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
- Will Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
- Will Stylianos win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.