Music · resolved market
Will Good Job Nicky win Sing for Greece 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03274ac249964f9e8a81a0121f4944c84dd2afed949d5af3c5a76153f8acac22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,369
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,369 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 15c | 743.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 17c | 685$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b05…eb63backed Yes | 26c | 497.33$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 17c | 439$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…a2debacked Yes | 16c | 438$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 75c | 412.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.45 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d9…2a28backed Yes | 21c | 387.86$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…26d6backed Yes | 21c | 373.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…43e9backed Yes | 16c | 291$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0c…6279backed Yes | 17c | 241$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2977…2d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 220.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…a5a9backed Yes | 25c | 199.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f07…0170backed Yes | 21c | 173$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 9c | 160.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 79c | 151.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 80c | 110.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.58 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…126dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…124dbacked Yes | 23c | 99.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 78c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 64.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6636…bf37backed Yes | 23c | 54.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -86.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Good Job Nicky win Sing for Greece 2026?this page
- Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?Yes won
- Will Evangelia win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
- Will Marseaux win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
- Will Stylianos win Sing for Greece 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.