TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0cee…f962

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$732Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$732
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+185.7%+$6,500
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,449.99
Solana all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13,661.42
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,010.2
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$8,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$8,499.98
Ethereum all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+225.9%+$2,258.67
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$3,318.49
Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Ethereum all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Bitcoin reach $110K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$1,392
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,551Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$1,119.83
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$702.7
All 14 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+57.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$3,450Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+44.9%+$1,550
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+257.1%+$757.32
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+56.2%+$562.08
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,760Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$1,760.08
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$580
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$820
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with the European Union before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+81.7%+$408.35
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$167
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+169.1%+$211.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+50.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60%+$1,499.5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,001Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+274.5%+$2,748.75
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+25%+$250
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$359.5
Will Rafał Trzaskowski win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$1,081.48
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$1,880.95
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,120
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,888Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,887.93
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$559.99
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,083.33
Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$273
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,900Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$4,100
US military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$750.36
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+31.4%+$314.29
Israel military action on Yemen before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+38.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+158.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Akylas win Sing for Greece 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+72.4%+$84
Diddy found guilty of sex trafficking?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$738.37
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Lakersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.