TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Ethereum all time high by June 30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,967,389
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,410,336

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,967,389 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 633 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x715d…b09bbacked Yes13c600,702$77,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,578.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+15.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6c15…8033backed Yes2c239,221$5,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,347.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20e…0a5ebacked Yes1c223,207$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.493823.7%9 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0107…7ec3backed Yes2c161,645$3,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,669.061513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e22…f021backed Yes5c152,600$7,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,468.441421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Yes4c107,917$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8001050%5 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+67.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x472b…c594backed No79c100,200$79,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,158.482653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Yes3c83,812$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.6112020%24 W · 96 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes3c77,715$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,126.470%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7c8…bc64backed Yes3c64,606$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,998.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa853…da85backed No78c63,708$49,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,936.041883.3%15 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+16.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ed2…3cf4backed Yes7c60,512$4,156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,156.05742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+62.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bef…8108backed Yes14c60,000$8,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,199.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes4c57,550$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.147328.8%21 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9f5…fcdbbacked Yes1c57,309$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d0…b3d2backed Yes6c54,446$3,245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,245.0660%0 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa702…4dc3backed Yes2c52,172$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…ec17backed Yes3c51,842$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.612832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x730a…51a0backed Yes1c43,190$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.811333.8%5 W · 128 L-10.2wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-83.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c33…c7f7backed Yes21c41,816$8,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,654.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick19cpaid+534.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e7…9a6fbacked Yes17c41,432$6,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,888.1530%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes4c35,981$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.576613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed No55c35,227$19,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,791.211752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe976…68d1backed Yes5c34,968$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.851717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-61.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74ab…e875backed Yes4c34,912$1,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes4c34,483$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.5825824%62 W · 196 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-27.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb3…15a2backed Yes6c34,322$2,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd06b…4faebacked Yes10c33,397$3,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,371.62742.9%3 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick15cpaid+297.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0baf…409cbacked Yes17c31,736$5,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,545.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5333…0427backed No54c29,264$15,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,489.08850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5abb…8633backed Yes17c28,649$4,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,878.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8542…6952backed Yes3c28,545$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15d…2851backed Yes48c28,266$13,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,604.81050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c58…01aebacked Yes33c25,951$8,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,490.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+50.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1feb…92b7backed Yes5c24,513$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.19425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9521…766bbacked Yes5c23,921$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.552920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick9cpaid+269.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes3c23,374$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.47339.1%3 W · 30 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7558…2d70backed Yes4c22,921$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.961105.5%6 W · 104 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick4cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x712f…38a1backed Yes15c22,854$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes3c22,506$634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.17306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-73.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ca1…13b5backed Yes2c21,218$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.923925.6%10 W · 29 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-49.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37cd…7b7ebacked Yes2c20,725$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.24180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ac…8411backed Yes1c20,030$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb6…2124backed Yes5c20,000$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.21728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-46.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Yes3c20,000$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5852425%6 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes1c19,717$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.463013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-53.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…46e5backed Yes4c19,432$789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.564231%13 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cee…f962backed Yes5c19,311$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x521d…63cebacked Yes13c18,187$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,276.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7caf…57cdbacked Yes5c18,155$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.77425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+101.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1238…336fbacked Yes3c15,794$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d1…402fbacked Yes5c15,656$773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.49175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick10cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a10…4d02backed Yes4c15,359$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.3350%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeac6…6cf8backed Yes1c15,156$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.141513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccab…6212backed Yes1c15,093$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x246f…773cbacked Yes22c15,088$3,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,351.39520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-73.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c14,371$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.551490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8032…cdadbacked Yes12c14,084$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2476…e533backed Yes1c13,824$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49c…8150backed No49c13,605$6,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,875.091546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc8f…3260backed No80c13,578$10,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.051190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick68cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a19…c9e3backed Yes2c13,182$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…675ebacked Yes4c12,614$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.48280%0 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882e…e757backed Yes47c12,088$5,666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,666.2750%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f6f…ea97backed Yes4c11,630$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x157c…c901backed Yes2c11,162$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.77616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12da…d12dbacked No64c11,122$7,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,012.481266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid0%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked No75c11,086$8,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,762.7887828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a78…5342backed Yes1c10,752$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes4c10,644$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes7c10,478$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720156.7%1 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick17cpaid-90%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd3…3afebacked Yes4c10,456$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.85248.3%2 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick20cpaid-55.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Yes3c10,300$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae1…a29dbacked Yes8c10,221$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec7…c5ccbacked Yes0c10,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe646…02b2backed Yes2c9,601$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe297…314abacked Yes2c9,454$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa142…9716backed Yes1c9,427$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf68…3fdebacked Yes5c9,091$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a54…ac2ebacked Yes4c9,004$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d7…8e0dbacked Yes2c8,865$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.9460%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3da…f328backed Yes2c8,740$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb0…d15cbacked Yes45c8,500$3,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,82520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6592…0149backed Yes3c8,483$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick5cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36cc…e2f1backed Yes1c8,472$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b2…2642backed Yes1c8,310$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90180%0 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2023…2d55backed Yes16c8,291$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.43520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf8e…820cbacked Yes4c8,056$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.98837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick29cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fe…ef71backed Yes1c7,486$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bad…43babacked Yes12c7,218$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x249b…5df1backed Yes3c6,794$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.827619.7%15 W · 61 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1d4…1137backed Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2034…16dfbacked Yes2c6,598$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.91513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid-56.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…d0f3backed Yes2c6,450$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x346c…a160backed No65c6,383$4,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,217.921952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d8…f8bbbacked Yes3c6,293$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35b2…bd2cbacked Yes10c6,060$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.6520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd21…efdbbacked Yes14c5,961$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.585735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick28cpaid-3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x167f…746bbacked Yes4c5,956$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.4740%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1d5…03edbacked Yes4c5,892$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.