TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2cce…6e85

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
306
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT22039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 220 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.91
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$394
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$619.67
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$896Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$1,058.37
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$502Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+214.7%+$1,077.73
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.84
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,539.99
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,380
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.52
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.99
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.73
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$519.99
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.63
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$920Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$920
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.89
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$860
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$806.5
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.95
Spread: Knicks (-10.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$5,073Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,073.28
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,399Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,398.83
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550
Showing 25 of 220 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestoneslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT6613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$116
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.8
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.6
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,456.4%+$12,153.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 29-July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.69
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,039Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,038.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$479Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+213.2%+$1,021
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 May 18-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,402.71
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.33
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$1,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,520.19
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.97
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.38
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 April 27-May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$625.87
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+272.6%+$1,291.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.65
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$537Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.23
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,697Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,696.95
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.91
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 March 23-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.89
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 23-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$899.45
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick14cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA reach $208 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$141.72
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 23 above $215?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$430.8
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 23 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$331.33
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 16 above $295?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,480Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$1,480
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of February 2 above $210?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+708.8%+$4,537.34
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $330?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,303Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,303.3
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $335?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$871Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$870.66
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 2 above $185?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$619Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+547.2%+$3,386.18
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.74
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $580?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Meta (META) finish week of November 17 above $570?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$281.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$476Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+79.7%+$379
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$154
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.