Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x558d672818eb9348ca8452331957f905cc4ef9d56c66de71aebe861602d2bee9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $300,547
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $294,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,547 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 6c | 22,633$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.36 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…fe6bbacked Yes | 4c | 7,764$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +496.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 9c | 4,296$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.04 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +14.8wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 15c | 3,607$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.98 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 5c | 3,327$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.68 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,320$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 13c | 3,288$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.27 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 6c | 3,164$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…d717backed Yes | 7c | 3,060$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.5 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…1e55backed Yes | 2c | 3,049$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 80c | 2,676$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.36 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0f…ce35backed Yes | 6c | 2,593$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…ccf4backed Yes | 10c | 2,589$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 9c | 2,500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…6e85backed Yes | 6c | 2,460$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,400$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.19 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x488e…c932backed Yes | 4c | 2,341$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 65c | 2,100$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 11c | 1,771$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4748…2711backed Yes | 6c | 1,661$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 44 | 70.5%31 W · 13 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed Yes | 20c | 1,260$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.4 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 6c | 1,242$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x049b…5a12backed Yes | 6c | 1,187$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.35 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 3cpaid | +403.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 5c | 1,100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 7c | 1,067$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9018…c54cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,067$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 6c | 1,050$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…c69ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 10c | 999.97$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ff…dc47backed Yes | 23c | 990.28$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf756…3a81backed Yes | 7c | 986.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.57 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…daf7backed Yes | 2c | 935.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 908.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…55e0backed Yes | 4c | 873.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 4c | 857.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 17c | 838.27$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.54 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 5c | 833.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 763.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c692backed Yes | 5c | 685.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48e…b476backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee3…5413backed Yes | 19c | 619.19$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 15c | 579.54$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…b4c6backed Yes | 10c | 551.76$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 71c | 537.79$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 10c | 534.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f1b3backed No | 77c | 499.96$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8872…561dbacked Yes | 2c | 462.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 75c | 454.67$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…cbf9backed Yes | 8c | 418.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 3c | 409.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 6c | 407.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…9925backed Yes | 4c | 401.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…2128backed Yes | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74df…be73backed Yes | 13c | 377.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d6…f384backed Yes | 11c | 348.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 74c | 337.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3c…f3cabacked Yes | 16c | 307.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 8c | 305.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…de8bbacked Yes | 36c | 301.86$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60b9…3296backed Yes | 13c | 300$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +130.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc584…8640backed Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…3dc1backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…0602backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…89bcbacked Yes | 12c | 299.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x971c…2712backed Yes | 12c | 299.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…49ebbacked Yes | 14c | 299.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 27c | 296$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96e…304bbacked No | 56c | 287.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…d68ebacked Yes | 14c | 280$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2acb…4a1dbacked Yes | 12c | 279.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e3…6162backed Yes | 13c | 279.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.1 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731a…04bdbacked Yes | 8c | 250.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6095…5be5backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 18c | 230.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.99 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd859…38c5backed Yes | 8c | 216.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 143 | 7.7%11 W · 132 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…99d8backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 207.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e51…879abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes | 6c | 197.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 13c | 191.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…56f1backed Yes | 7c | 182.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc887…869bbacked Yes | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6060…f91ebacked Yes | 8c | 149.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a5…8c52backed Yes | 10c | 145.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 53c | 140$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.2 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a91…7cbcbacked Yes | 9c | 130.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…b7bfbacked Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd3…0413backed Yes | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…fa71backed Yes | 14c | 111.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…5f9bbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bb…cb45backed Yes | 11c | 109.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked No | 71c | 106.91$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 60cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…f851backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaced…f7f9backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.