TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$300,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$294,073

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $300,547 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes6c22,633$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300.361466.2%9 W · 137 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8889…fe6bbacked Yes4c7,764$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2721233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick12cpaid+496.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a0…c059backed Yes9c4,296$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.047156.3%40 W · 31 L+14.8wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+113.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes15c3,607$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.9887828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes5c3,327$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.68904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3900…fb4ebacked Yes9c3,320$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7470%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes13c3,288$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.27911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-82.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes6c3,164$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.616613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb75…d717backed Yes7c3,060$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.5263.8%1 W · 25 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick14cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe47c…1e55backed Yes2c3,049$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8380%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc50…4c82backed No80c2,676$2,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.3658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba0f…ce35backed Yes6c2,593$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.431225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad57…ccf4backed Yes10c2,589$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.480%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251379.5%13 W · 124 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…0a45backed Yes9c2,500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2309927.3%27 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Yes6c2,460$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.66613.6%9 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes12c2,400$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.192825%7 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x488e…c932backed Yes4c2,341$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6dc…246ebacked No65c2,100$1,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74113770.1%96 W · 41 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd143…83ecbacked Yes11c1,771$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.1310221.6%22 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4748…2711backed Yes6c1,661$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…0ac6backed Yes29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4354470.5%31 W · 13 L+7.2wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+21.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x3822…b720backed Yes20c1,260$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.48634.9%30 W · 56 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes6c1,242$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3928113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x049b…5a12backed Yes6c1,187$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.35387.9%3 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+403.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes5c1,100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5528021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba15…7579backed Yes7c1,067$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.725442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9018…c54cbacked Yes3c1,067$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed Yes6c1,050$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.257112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3112…c69ebacked Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60195.3%1 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed Yes10c999.97$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ff…dc47backed Yes23c990.28$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf756…3a81backed Yes7c986.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.57230%0 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…daf7backed Yes2c935.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7170%0 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3a5…83dbbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003542.9%15 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.18per pick24cpaid+109.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes3c908.32$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.071970%0 W · 197 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x031d…55e0backed Yes4c873.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Yes4c857.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-60.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes17c838.27$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.541288.6%11 W · 117 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e55…760dbacked Yes5c833.96$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.12429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick9cpaid+125.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes4c763.79$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.921,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6259…c692backed Yes5c685.74$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.51130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48e…b476backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ee3…5413backed Yes19c619.19$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2884…d0c3backed Yes15c579.54$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.422437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03b9…b4c6backed Yes10c551.76$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…5f77backed No71c537.79$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.85168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3301…4dd8backed Yes10c534.55$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.521024.9%5 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-76.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc8…f1b3backed No77c499.96$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8872…561dbacked Yes2c462.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1190%0 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa772…05efbacked No75c454.67$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.673158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4cee…cbf9backed Yes8c418.5$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.74425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3360…955bbacked Yes3c409.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254311.6%5 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d74…596bbacked Yes6c407.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.47263.8%1 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-92.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…9925backed Yes4c401.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa356…2128backed Yes9c400$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74df…be73backed Yes13c377.78$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd3d6…f384backed Yes11c348.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-55.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6685…0622backed No74c337.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.843148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac3c…f3cabacked Yes16c307.69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes8c305.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce2…de8bbacked Yes36c301.86$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.671020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60b9…3296backed Yes13c300$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaec…e6f6backed Yes18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+130.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc584…8640backed Yes11c299.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c92…3dc1backed Yes13c299.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.91241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e46…0602backed Yes13c299.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-39.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2512…89bcbacked Yes12c299.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x971c…2712backed Yes12c299.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.29955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3447…49ebbacked Yes14c299.92$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.591553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf114…8003backed Yes27c296$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.728521.2%18 W · 67 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa96e…304bbacked No56c287.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2dd…d68ebacked Yes14c280$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-35.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2acb…4a1dbacked Yes12c279.98$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.591040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-42.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29e3…6162backed Yes13c279.97$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x731a…04bdbacked Yes8c250.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6095…5be5backed Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes18c230.39$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9911330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd859…38c5backed Yes8c216.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751437.7%11 W · 132 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda4d…99d8backed Yes7c214.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes5c207.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291031.9%2 W · 101 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd43…0699backed Yes21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e51…879abacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-85.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ade…ac2bbacked Yes6c197.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…e629backed Yes13c191.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.373010%3 W · 27 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-81.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4604…56f1backed Yes7c182.29$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b4…7c3fbacked Yes11c181.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc887…869bbacked Yes36c160$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6060…f91ebacked Yes8c149.53$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a5…8c52backed Yes10c145.41$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes53c140$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.21513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-72.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9a91…7cbcbacked Yes9c130.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb802…b7bfbacked Yes12c125$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd3…0413backed Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-52.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6768…fa71backed Yes14c111.77$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.131338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad9…5f9bbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bb…cb45backed Yes11c109.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.12552%13 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked No71c106.91$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1526…f851backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaced…f7f9backed Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.