Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x147fcd186f191d08544de58fc5282c41947f598ee43ee1e8eb2eb13f72522e05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $224,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6259…c692backed Yes | 0c | 17,534$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 27c | 6,792$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.7 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 8c | 6,209$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.1 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaab…d63fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,920$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.61 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 23c | 4,601$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.45 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 15c | 4,390$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.97 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…5661backed No | 55c | 4,266$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.51 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071e…a103backed No | 79c | 3,640$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd143…83ecbacked Yes | 6c | 3,529$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.8 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52a…e276backed Yes | 2c | 3,100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,537$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.27 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 2,331$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 2,256$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 14c | 2,032$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 8c | 2,005$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.72 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 4c | 1,975$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.25 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…4bd5backed Yes | 24c | 1,900$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 128 | 8.6%11 W · 117 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa356…2128backed Yes | 6c | 1,836$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…6457backed Yes | 4c | 1,765$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.73 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,424$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,004$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…596bbacked Yes | 1c | 827.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -92.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef91…97b1backed Yes | 17c | 820.41$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.47 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Yes | 12c | 742.38$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51e0…42b1backed Yes | 3c | 711.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc8…f1b3backed No | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 24c | 637.65$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.64 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2296…c80cbacked Yes | 3c | 608.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 46c | 551.95$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.73 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 2c | 508.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 3c | 505.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92de…30b4backed Yes | 20c | 476.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…b4c6backed Yes | 28c | 433.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…6d06backed Yes | 3c | 409.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 62c | 400.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.77 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6685…0622backed No | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 20c | 312.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ef…5691backed Yes | 26c | 307.58$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…8003backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 85 | 21.2%18 W · 67 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…d7c9backed No | 71c | 299.95$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…e629backed Yes | 26c | 287.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.21 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36ee…b8bfbacked Yes | 25c | 281.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.99 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 19c | 269.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…9a3dbacked Yes | 66c | 223.36$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.42 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked No | 45c | 199.98$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55d…7484backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a99…c413backed No | 75c | 146.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…9be5backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…4dd8backed Yes | 11c | 142.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 102 | 4.9%5 W · 97 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 141.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…fa71backed Yes | 23c | 140.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 23c | 140$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 61c | 138.19$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.11 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ff…3fcdbacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2884…d0c3backed Yes | 18c | 134.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked Yes | 39c | 128.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.39 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fa…d14fbacked Yes | 27c | 104.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 76c | 103.07$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked Yes | 22c | 103.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 25c | 100.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2db…6865backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58a…5448backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca3…d39bbacked Yes | 32c | 96.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb802…b7bfbacked Yes | 17c | 88.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac7…64babacked No | 79c | 88.34$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…b29bbacked Yes | 29c | 80.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…1369backed Yes | 49c | 80$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa324…c18abacked No | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…0521backed No | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4043…19cfbacked No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1f…3537backed No | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2170…2883backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Yes | 23c | 69.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…af84backed Yes | 32c | 63.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked No | 73c | 58.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 57c | 57.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.58 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…e4edbacked Yes | 28c | 55.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da6…370dbacked Yes | 44c | 43.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5911…28bbbacked Yes | 33c | 40.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…a040backed Yes | 57c | 39.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ad…c163backed No | 70c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 10cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3822…b720backed No | 72c | 17.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…7b25backed No | 76c | 17.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 73c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 6-12?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 6-12?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 July 6-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.