TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc5d8…6fcf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
54
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-54.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$54.72
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+300%+$86.77
Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.42
Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$28.66
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.2
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-59.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$109.99
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 6-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 29-July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.78
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.08
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$18.53
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+91.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+28.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$57.96
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Madrid Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$44.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Augsburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.