South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c17b9bae4379a7a4ff52079aa9df0272f75d14d77e3b3fa92beec325c624f83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,618
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,618 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 2,589$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.65 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 1,012$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.65 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 941.49$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 893$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.11 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 836.35$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.88 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Yes | 28c | 725$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 655.53$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.32 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Yes | 29c | 597$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.32 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Yes | 27c | 570$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 73c | 479.66$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 390.65$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.48 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 68c | 354.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.19 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 310.21$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.38 | 375 | 40%150 W · 225 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 52c | 286.21$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.39 | 216 | 40.3%87 W · 129 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 28c | 285.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 75c | 268.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 233.58$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 62c | 218.13$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 75c | 197.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 26c | 193.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 27c | 181.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed No | 56c | 179.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.21 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 174$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 174$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 25c | 152.67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.92 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes | 53c | 152.02$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed No | 45c | 142$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8b…9cd7backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…2ebfbacked Yes | 64c | 125.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 76c | 116.01$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…6fcfbacked Yes | 24c | 116.01$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 66c | 104$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.64 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 102.87$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4552…eac6backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fc…b1fbbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 76c | 66.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 28c | 52.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked No | 71c | 48.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 42c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 27c | 44.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 198 | 46%91 W · 107 L | +13.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 75c | 43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 76c | 41.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 56c | 41.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 61c | 38.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed No | 73c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 97 | 63.9%62 W · 35 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked No | 57c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 157 | 68.2%107 W · 50 L | +21.8wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 37.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 63c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Yes | 73c | 30.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…f35ebacked No | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4d…df45backed Yes | 46c | 28.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…6db1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 71c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 183 | 59%108 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed No | 55c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 74c | 25.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 79c | 25.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 71c | 23.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed No | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?this page
- Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?Yes won
- Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.