TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$252,643
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$276,200

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,643 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes36c115,672$41,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,201.614238.1%16 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No64c59,800$38,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,271.981650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf344…9a04backed No64c28,000$17,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,920250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes36c23,134$8,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,755.212,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4da7…7abdbacked No63c14,000$8,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,819.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No64c9,346$5,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,967.68643%37 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No64c7,197$4,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,623.5965058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No64c7,111$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.321,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No63c6,123$3,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,874.761,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No65c4,655$3,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,031.1542250.2%212 W · 210 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x911b…344fbacked Yes38c4,501$1,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.62650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No65c3,893$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.0333560.9%204 W · 131 L+18.7wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No74c3,791$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.058,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf80…3259backed Yes22c3,246$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.110446.2%48 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c3,200$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,11243618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No64c3,200$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,04824855.2%137 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.141758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No64c2,689$1,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,724.761,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No64c2,400$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53613059.2%77 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No66c2,022$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.873,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes35c2,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.993167.7%21 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked No37c1,580$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.893046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc16c…a3aabacked No63c1,539$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.32875%21 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+20.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No64c1,400$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89616558.2%96 W · 69 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No20c1,379$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9482434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No7c1,227$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.889122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No65c1,223$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.191,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ab…b16ebacked No65c1,218$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.69450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No64c1,200$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76824053.8%129 W · 111 L-0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed No64c1,195$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.583554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes35c1,144$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8646530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes38c1,047$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.3713257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No64c1,040$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$667.221,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Yes37c1,035$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.43966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+46%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf33e…0ab8backed No65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6503234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7002222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+65.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No64c1,000$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64019559.5%116 W · 79 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No64c952.62$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.241,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No64c920$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.822457.1%128 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Yes62c889.31$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.635147.1%24 W · 27 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51228851.7%149 W · 139 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No64c800$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51223056.5%130 W · 100 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes14c714.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.893315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes36c668.38$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.7627349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes37c653.76$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.763831.6%12 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No64c653.66$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.341560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No64c634.67$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.123,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38424956.6%141 W · 108 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed No64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38418358.5%107 W · 76 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5a…4289backed No65c586.12$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.983243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked No19c568.42$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.612263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed No64c520$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.816559.4%98 W · 67 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No64c520$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.815857.6%91 W · 67 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No38c493.87$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.494231%13 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No48c482.53$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.5336339.9%145 W · 218 L-16.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-38.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No60c473.96$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.2437540%150 W · 225 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No36c463.69$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.241,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No76c459.3$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.076357.1%36 W · 27 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No77c426.96$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.3426745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes36c425.32$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2127549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Yes37c405.98$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.773836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6f1…b386backed No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf703…541abacked Yes38c394.74$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.7410039%39 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No65c390.65$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.923844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked No36c339.66$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1911354.9%62 W · 51 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No64c320$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.821358.7%125 W · 88 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No64c312$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6821657.9%125 W · 91 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No64c312$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.6820360.6%123 W · 80 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked No65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No29c306.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.345,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…f7b5backed No75c300$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.7140242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No64c280$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.222058.6%129 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x27fa…d8c4backed Yes39c274.28$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked No64c240$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.63652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes31c230$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.618631.2%58 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d7…f1dbbacked Yes25c201.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.321050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No59c201.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.241145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12824257%138 W · 104 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12815560%93 W · 62 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12818959.3%112 W · 77 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a11…ef8ebacked No64c199.4$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6210158.4%59 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No74c181$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.4444843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No66c179.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7941654.3%226 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No65c174$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No64c174$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.361533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No64c160$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f11…410bbacked No63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed No33c154.54$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5120036.5%73 W · 127 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes50c148.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1516864.9%109 W · 59 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+13.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No56c148$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8789846.1%414 W · 484 L-11.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No66c144.24$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3616842.9%72 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7b…7cebbacked Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.861050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes35c142.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.862470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.7wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+31.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c140$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.21,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Yes36c138.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.885251.9%27 W · 25 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+40.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes28c137.02$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.3894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No69c132.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7225866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No63c131.23$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.242,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7053…25e4backed Yes36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804129.3%12 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.