TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8dd…ec86

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
433
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Music, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Music at 55 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT19057.9%110 W · 80 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 190 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$804Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$253.87
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.15
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.91
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.1
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 82°F or higher on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 80°F or higher on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$9.95
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.58
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$36.67
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.07
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$19.15
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$17.1
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$15.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$37.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$6.86
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.02
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.8
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.72
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.83
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.58
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$14.19
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Showing 25 of 190 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT4450%22 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Korea increase the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.72
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$31.31
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.71
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$40.76
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 15-20%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+54.9%+$39
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+38%+$30.31
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+26%+$22.73
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$4,729Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,728.67
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,353Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$4,059.97
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the June meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.53
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+207.9%+$2,303.31
Will Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$878Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$877.66
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,099Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,099.35
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,768Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$1,472
Will Park Wan-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$982.18
Will Kim Doo-kyum win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+44.5%+$66.4
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.01
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.7
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$211.07
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$175.38
Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$2,725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,724.94
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$8,790Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$3,064.81
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.99
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will voter turnout be less than 85% in the 2026 Maltese general election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$19.2
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.3
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$8.78
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.36
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.75
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.07
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$61.82
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$26.55
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$906.74
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$765.63
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,326Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$612.9
Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.14
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$2,907Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$768.99
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,145.43
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$8,744Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,744.36
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.97
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11,853Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,852.56
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,493Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,493.17
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$4,638Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$1,218.97
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.95
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.36
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on May 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.99
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+122.3%+$198.58
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-02-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,392Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+44.9%+$625.54
Will Milton Keynes Dons FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.04
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,397Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$598.5
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$24.36
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$308
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39%+$11.64
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$207.09
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+69.5%+$25.01
Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+104.1%+$38.25
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-12-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+143.9%+$147.5
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-12-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$48.21
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$108.33
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$1,000.74
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-12-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+88.7%+$32.43
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10.49
Will Grimsby Town FC win on 2025-12-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$17.92
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$450
Will Tottenham win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.48
Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$550
Will Birmingham City FC win on 2025-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$32.94
Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
All 22 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.22
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$10.2
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.8
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$7
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.33
Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25.5%+$11.67
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.25
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$14.61
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.2
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will Russia win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$887Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$384.53
Will Egypt vs. Russia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$162.2
Will Egypt win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$714Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$714.05
Will Morocco win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$308.54
Will Benin win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$56.93
Will Algeria win on 2025-11-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15.28
All 17 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-60.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 61m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.65
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 35m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.39
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.67
Will "Michael" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
Will "Passenger" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9.5m and 11m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.57
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 92m and 102m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$611.63
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$22.28
Will "Running Point: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$37.64
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.46
Will "Should I Marry A Murderer?" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.27
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$965.11
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$964Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$964.23
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will The Studio win Best Producer of a TV Comedy Series at the 37th PGA Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.22
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.72
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$162.66
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.24
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.34
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$129.51
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$254.93
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$800
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$600
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,360
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+53.8%+$232.2
Will Racing Club win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$327.4
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,323.47
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.42
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST+44.9%+$14.88
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-41.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$6.07
Will Vålerenga Fotball win on 2026-05-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Will Vålerenga Fotball vs. Kristiansund BK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.78
Will PSV win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$42.72
Will Randers FC win on 2026-02-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,174Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,174.11
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$35.86
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+334.8%+$1,540
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$659.86
Will Gençlerbirliği SK win on 2025-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-12-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$49.14
Will NEC win on 2025-12-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will NEC vs. Sparta Rotterdam end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$6.09
Will NEC win on 2025-11-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$19.68
Will Kocaelispor win on 2025-11-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$383.17
All 14 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+114.2%+$30.05
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$18.68
Will annual inflation be 4.4% or more in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$908Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+46.2%+$419.3
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,190.69
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+78.4%+$674.8
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$30.89
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.83
Will annual inflation increase by 3.8% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$497Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.35
Will annual inflation increase by 3.7% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$415Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56%+$232.47
Will annual inflation increase by 3.6% in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$130.92
All 10 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 6, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.17
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$663Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$662.78
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$473Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$473.42
Will 20-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$770Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+40.7%+$313.72
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$255.92
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 4-May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+74%+$175.23
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,603Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$904.49
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$916Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$916.02
All 8 picks, newest first.
Musiclast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+153.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-59.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+122.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+204.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$9,120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+98%+$8,939.81
Will Team Falcons win CS Asia Championships 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+310.4%+$192.43
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+117.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+85.2%+$15.83
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+150%+$22.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$176.58
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+94.6%+$191.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-01-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$633.6
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.56
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$3,351Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$958.15
Will Olympiacos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-29.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) close at <$42 on the final day of trading of the week of Nov 17 – Nov 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.