World Politics · resolved market
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc14e407f4321beae405d41c4c2b8616435c4c3526693d4ca6857d5ead92b5b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 3c | 1,152$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 6c | 1,066$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 6c | 982.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 10c | 864.47$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.7 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 560$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed No | 4c | 422$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 4c | 382.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 5c | 335.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 10c | 319.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 5c | 266.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked No | 9c | 207.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed No | 7c | 202$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ae…217abacked No | 5c | 200.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65b…516bbacked No | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed No | 15c | 168.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 10c | 165$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf861…aa20backed No | 12c | 154$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc540…f00dbacked No | 7c | 147.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b81…f9b6backed No | 9c | 125.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18cf…2bb2backed No | 9c | 110.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked No | 12c | 97.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed Yes | 79c | 34.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?this page
- Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.