South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d87ccbf573a3087bc72cc69473145206ce410824115767259fa8bed5fade793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $82,541
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,541 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 11c | 8,532$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 8c | 7,304$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,734.21 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 66c | 4,764$3,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,619.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 4,762$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,607.83 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 79c | 4,280$3,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.42 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…9c28backed Yes | 35c | 3,122$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked Yes | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.79 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 70c | 2,429$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.57 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 66c | 2,130$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.19 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 77c | 1,517$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.12 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 8c | 1,431$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.11 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 1,356$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.36 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 36c | 1,200$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed Yes | 36c | 936.91$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.29 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 37c | 763.98$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.39 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 34c | 699.72$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 65c | 663.44$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 72c | 534$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.52 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 10c | 510$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 65c | 334.83$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 323.3$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.43 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…2e91backed Yes | 6c | 306.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 23c | 296.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.23 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 65c | 285.71$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Yes | 31c | 277$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…a1d7backed No | 7c | 224.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +223.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 69c | 208.27$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 17c | 197.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 53c | 187.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9a…f2a8backed Yes | 30c | 170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 155.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 33c | 153$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 150.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 77c | 109.37$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 70c | 95$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed No | 31c | 92$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 70c | 84.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 71cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 64c | 76$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 17c | 69.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…409ebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 22c | 66.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 65.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 30c | 63.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 29c | 61.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 60.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 33c | 58.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 53c | 53.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 51.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 22c | 51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 21c | 49.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…5526backed Yes | 30c | 49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ff…0b32backed Yes | 79c | 48.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 37c | 48.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Yes | 30c | 45.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 36c | 45.83$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 43.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x264c…08bcbacked Yes | 28c | 38.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 70c | 36.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 69c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 70c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 72c | 31.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.43 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 57c | 29.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…7627backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2949…76bcbacked No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 70c | 18.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5253…b898backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…54c8backed No | 72c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.