South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7dc820048e197415363e49fcac04fb78cd1f2d6d6d88c53bb33d2b2b2319a9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 3,893$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.62 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 19c | 1,915$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.2 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 1,862$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,284.56 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 19c | 1,628$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.1 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,314$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.7 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 23c | 1,249$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.99 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 851.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.45 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 32c | 740.31$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.59 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 67c | 682.93$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.56 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 32c | 586.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.85 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 9c | 580.01$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked No | 68c | 526.99$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 449.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.99 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 14c | 251.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 203.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.48 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 39c | 195.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.28 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 17c | 167$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.26 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 16c | 149.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 45c | 133$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.17 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 31c | 121.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 30c | 110$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 68c | 105.54$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 44c | 100.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2232backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked No | 21c | 90.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 17c | 69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 61c | 68.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 20c | 64.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed2…8958backed Yes | 26c | 64.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49c…6dcabacked Yes | 31c | 54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…9872backed No | 69c | 52.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed No | 69c | 48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec5…58eabacked No | 36c | 30.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked No | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 46c | 22.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a9…f72ebacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Yes | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…8416backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 72cpaid | -74%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 68c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-02-11?No won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.