South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-02-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71760ac25c76f688024b99158629abd4c07bc9387342f36805b2965c29177a29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,097
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,097 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 8c | 4,750$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 1,608$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.24 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 3c | 1,339$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 1,215$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.55 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 34c | 1,033$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.56 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Yes | 35c | 683$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 9c | 509.38$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 9c | 485.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 28c | 421.3$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.39 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 8c | 331.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…67bfbacked No | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 39c | 314.39$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.68 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 17c | 237.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 190$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2a…72f1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 14c | 178.56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f7…2544backed Yes | 34c | 167.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 61c | 155.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 35c | 141$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked No | 72c | 126.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcd…32f3backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03d…4dfbbacked Yes | 24c | 118.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1783…7180backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 37c | 71.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 37c | 63.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 35c | 59.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 34c | 59.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed No | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 52cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 35c | 51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 35c | 46.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 65c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 213 | 45.1%96 W · 117 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb48c…ab11backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 33c | 42.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 37c | 41.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…9e5fbacked Yes | 34c | 35.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 38c | 33.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked Yes | 39c | 31.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff67…a1c9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 38c | 29.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 67c | 29.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73cd…e093backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce01…5c2abacked No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6263…f8e1backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 69c | 19.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 63c | 19.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-02-11?this page
- Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-02-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.