TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x99fc…9e5f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Premier League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will NK Celje win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+133.1%+$23.95
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+178.5%+$58.91
KF Shkëndija 79 vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Panathinaikós AO vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+138.1%+$20.71
Will AZ win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Kuopion PS vs. KKS Lech Poznań: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Everton FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$15.61
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+47.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$16.88
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.27
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.