TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed No69c15,000$10,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,3503860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a7b…0d1cbacked Yes33c14,558$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,808.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+53.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No67c6,997$4,708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,707.6668750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No68c5,903$4,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,014.3511153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No68c4,462$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.1535646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed Yes32c3,231$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.254546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+31.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Yes32c3,125$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,12510650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes31c2,419$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,669.0740447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes31c2,287$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,577.6998544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No75c2,213$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,664.5349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes25c2,001$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.441020%2 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No68c1,900$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.7640549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No68c1,631$1,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.7841854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No79c1,496$1,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,180.912259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes31c1,419$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.3533951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No68c1,344$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.819149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No76c1,222$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.0749137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes16c1,214$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.893420.6%7 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc82…c7c5backed Yes32c1,065$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.21361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes32c1,040$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.21030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c997.07$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.012,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes13c805.23$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.4326241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes25c800$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes21c699.55$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.556936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No68c673.72$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.1326040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4254245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes32c625$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.0617538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes25c552$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes31c530$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes10c514.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$464.11855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+77.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbd2…bc24backed Yes32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick34cpaid+69.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes13c495.23$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.372218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No69c489$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.2848144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No68c476.8$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.226349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3736…b729backed No69c442$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.98366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d8a…085bbacked Yes32c414.35$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+156.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes12c407.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.463237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No15c403.12$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4532843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27616251.2%83 W · 79 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c380$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36112731.5%40 W · 87 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No68c360.29$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x142b…c8c9backed Yes10c350.51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+910.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7baf…99a7backed Yes6c333.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.332725.9%7 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick13cpaid+92.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14f7…232cbacked Yes32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes17c305.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.882450%12 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No68c300$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20426046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9977…1b40backed Yes12c300$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2651145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+74%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd50f…4034backed Yes31c300$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2071546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes17c296.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.39440.4%38 W · 56 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No69c289.86$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8d6…bdc2backed No69c284.06$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1962948.3%14 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69c1…fbb6backed No69c282$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x143d…9a1ebacked Yes18c280.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+129.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Yes29c276.25$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.255653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8040…40eabacked Yes19c268.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+437.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes32c268.5$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.585028%14 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94a5…018dbacked No69c261$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.09333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1caa…9573backed No69c246$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86ac…2c33backed No69c244$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No21c215.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.516132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes18c203.37$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.375726.3%15 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked Yes15c200$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.844233.3%14 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes32c200$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1362161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+51.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes31c193.61$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5911547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked No69c186$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.34560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Yes25c168.29$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.581747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+92%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes32c163.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.221030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes32c159$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1212422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.257237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.255726.3%15 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb36…10a3backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.251050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…8206backed Yes32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+122.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa824…662fbacked Yes19c156.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+160.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Yes32c156.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.162250%11 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes32c151.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.283246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1980…5edabacked No69c151.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes17c148.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.812147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+47.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa0…e82fbacked Yes32c146.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.88977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xada4…c344backed Yes32c140.63$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.632445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64cd…e0d1backed No69c137.53$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…8811backed No69c125.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.68366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ff…9aaabacked Yes16c125.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.491650%8 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8510242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb150…ac78backed Yes12c124.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.35580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+160.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x582f…ab47backed Yes25c124$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$933363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes37c121.15$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8214845.3%67 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes16c120.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.083016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No72c119.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.267462.2%46 W · 28 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a57…9ac1backed Yes13c111.11$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.11837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick23cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes32c109.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.384032.5%13 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed No67c107.58$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.087444.6%33 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c100.24$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5923345.1%105 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676628.8%19 W · 47 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+123.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fc3…0670backed Yes32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Yes27c99.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.542931%9 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.