TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$484,043
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $484,043 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x183d…1270backed Yes37c61,799$23,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,132.591136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c38,804$24,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,276.3468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No63c37,024$23,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,698.885738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Yes71c33,096$23,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,436.678354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c29,985$18,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,064.9598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No37c28,635$10,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,963.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No18c26,223$4,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,503.7849850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc736…e547backed Yes75c25,494$19,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,081.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes37c20,111$7,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,407.14837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes37c20,000$7,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,4603860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1c…6535backed No63c13,000$8,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,809.892339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,8009952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No62c10,000$6,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7751827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No63c10,000$6,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,699.93933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No61c9,569$5,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,686.262250%11 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes17c8,053$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.511,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No62c7,919$4,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,969.61346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Yes37c5,321$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.951346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No44c5,172$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,911.96132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-25.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No62c5,000$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Yes45c4,594$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0504641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16d…39a2backed Yes37c4,055$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.3633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No63c4,000$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,48020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Yes38c3,921$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4901758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+83.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52ed…8db7backed No61c3,685$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,437.061442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No63c3,597$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,335.3235646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes23c3,422$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$787.7416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d04…7a5fbacked No63c3,415$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,263.552240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe998…b7f0backed No63c3,398$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.381241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No64c3,000$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0804040%16 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-28.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No64c2,813$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.52857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a16…1050backed Yes37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001850%9 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Yes36c2,643$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004323.3%10 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No17c2,356$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.5216819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No61c2,164$1,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.291833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes37c2,162$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003756.8%21 W · 16 L+7.6wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+81.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No63c2,162$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.8933148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76012657.1%72 W · 54 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7204860.4%29 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No62c1,921$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730.174247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes37c1,919$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.0310940.4%44 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No16c1,900$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,594.227226.4%19 W · 53 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes38c1,850$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008052.5%42 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No64c1,662$1,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.1341854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No63c1,657$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.0937250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.92552%13 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.871650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes38c1,566$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes46c1,563$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.5726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No18c1,480$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,216.3331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No63c1,478$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5740549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes68c1,472$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.9722373.1%163 W · 60 L+20.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No47c1,421$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.12259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+33.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No62c1,410$874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.679350.5%47 W · 46 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No40c1,345$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.9224238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010451%53 W · 51 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No62c1,290$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.26659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3520…1fa0backed Yes41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001915.8%3 W · 16 L-4.5wins-0.24per pick39cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No63c1,190$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.340447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No26c1,182$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.4934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked No34c1,176$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.472650%13 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c1,028$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.3531051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7936…9306backed Yes37c1,022$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes37c1,000$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3705158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes36c999.97$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.99633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked No63c955$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.356349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85e8…474abacked No65c949.99$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.51741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33d3…0f8fbacked Yes37c918.92$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3402040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81d9…34e9backed Yes37c895.57$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+23.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes37c808.11$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2995341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…2719backed Yes43c805.24$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.842934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No37c772.79$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.8649137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…e7f0backed Yes67c764.96$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.52616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.36per pick52cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No63c758.15$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.5226040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb8b…6d8abacked Yes38c665.69$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No26c664.43$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.127231.9%23 W · 49 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00a3…575cbacked Yes38c637.39$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.213754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Yes33c607.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No13c603.71$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.2993252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa43…22f3backed Yes68c595.59$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick64cpaid+11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Yes32c586.72$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.752218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick26cpaid+1.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed No34c586.44$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.058334.9%29 W · 54 L-0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No21c578.6$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.393237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Yes68c571.12$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.683461.8%21 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c569.69$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.2644753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes37c567.57$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes37c554.14$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5415844.3%70 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004639.1%18 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes37c527.03$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd3…74d4backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No62c509.96$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.8912649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180988.9%8 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick21cpaid-79.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1858640.7%35 W · 51 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed Yes36c500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-52.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.