TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5c31…23cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst Tennis at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hamburg European Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Ignacio Busebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.89
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.99
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,667Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,666.74
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$567Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$567.21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Solana Sierrabacked Solana Sierra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$993Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$993.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Dino Prizmic vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$326.62
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$588
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Jack Draper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$597Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$824.76
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.02
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$538Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$135.45
BNP Paribas Open: Coco Gauff vs Alexandra Ealabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$594.63
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$359.79
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$714Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$201.32
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$35.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,498Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$532.13
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$597
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,186Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,186.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$331.69
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$450
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Valencia CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,012Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$355.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$317.03
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,015Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+33.3%+$338.48
Pistons vs. Pelicansbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,008Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+28.2%+$284.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$595
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+26.6%+$266.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$284.84
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$319.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$219.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$298.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs. Lipscomb Bisonsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$315.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$272.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,188.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.