TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$595,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $595,149 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed No24c46,861$11,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,151.93557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed No23c45,850$10,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,545.37540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-22.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes77c36,409$27,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,456.284841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes78c32,052$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,051.544139%16 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x759c…5f4bbacked No24c28,660$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,800366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+97.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No24c25,740$6,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,177.344447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No23c25,220$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,800.582536%9 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No25c25,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,250.112040%8 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c23,097$18,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,815.221,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No22c20,000$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4002920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No14c17,161$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,477.882317.4%4 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick26cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Yes77c15,159$11,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,486.55771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick75cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes76c13,801$10,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,358.1921144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No23c13,436$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.173351.5%17 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes76c9,845$7,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,323.319747.4%46 W · 51 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes76c8,640$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.6321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked No22c7,938$1,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,746.287529.3%22 W · 53 L-14.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-48.2%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No23c7,224$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.651216.7%2 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes78c7,094$5,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,593.665151%26 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No22c5,859$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-33.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No23c5,850$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No23c5,587$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.155040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes77c5,569$4,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,294.5715455.2%85 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes75c5,400$4,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.8531049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No24c5,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.995156.9%29 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes74c4,600$3,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1961936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked No23c4,515$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.452835.7%10 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes76c4,497$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.1287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76f6…21bebacked Yes78c4,332$3,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.051457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes78c3,847$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.342676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7447…c413backed Yes77c3,409$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-56.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd0…3373backed Yes75c3,333$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.331154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes76c3,333$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.924468.2%30 W · 14 L+6.6wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+38.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes77c3,300$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.053964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes78c2,863$2,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.964746.8%22 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No28c2,679$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.124052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No23c2,578$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.943050%15 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No23c2,175$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.361136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Yes78c2,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No10c1,979$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No23c1,694$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.3138056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes75c1,649$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.382548%12 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaed…580bbacked No23c1,520$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.740%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.0812050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No23c1,361$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.829949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Yes76c1,320$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.84266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.78435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes77c1,291$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.263644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Yes78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.054100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No23c1,218$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.051136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa742…68c5backed Yes77c1,193$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes77c1,175$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9360…f051backed Yes77c1,169$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.83887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+75%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ef6…e31abacked Yes77c1,049$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No11c943.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.7762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Yes77c909.09$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.09825%2 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes75c866.67$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.676349.2%31 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes74c840.59$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0632…d1b7backed Yes73c724.12$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.51850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes75c712.61$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18113844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Yes74c675.68$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.681872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Yes77c660$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.84755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes77c628.48$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.552944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes76c622.37$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.3723250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes76c582.57$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.7620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes74c541.5$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.791957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x632f…9e6ebacked Yes77c536.25$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Yes76c526$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.243250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b1…f8d3backed No23c524.04$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes76c506$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1204751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1153745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12027049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12033148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No23c477.73$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes77c468$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1085461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x803f…d466backed Yes77c459.74$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4db9…14f5backed No24c417.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes75c400.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.186100%6 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001090%9 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick68cpaid+33.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e9c…bf99backed Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29f8…cfb1backed Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.612857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes77c389.61$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6110964.2%70 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bbe…95bfbacked Yes78c385.86$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes77c384.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.577648.7%37 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b8d…9805backed No24c379.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5100…f8f4backed No24c362.21$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-56.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No24c351.51$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba12…60bbbacked No26c350.31$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.88250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No23c337.27$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.57812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56a8…3639backed No23c326$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.982759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed No24c305.41$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes76c300.01$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.510838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes76c300$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.414045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692445.8%11 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-35.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7512957.4%74 W · 55 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa9…422cbacked Yes75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+204.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.