TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ef6…e31a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Bundesliga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Bundesliga at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT3764.9%24 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$75.38
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Miami Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Viktorija Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+54.3%+$54.31
Miami Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Billy Harrisbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Miami Open, Qualification: Ella Seidel vs Marina Stakusicbacked Ella Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$635.61
BNP Paribas Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
BNP Paribas Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,335Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$1,202.53
Austin: Paula Badosa vs Bianca Andreescubacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$2,168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,168.31
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$125.22
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draperbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$645Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$645
BNP Paribas Open: Jessica Pegula vs Belinda Bencicbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$73.13
BNP Paribas Open: Karolina Muchova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$112.5
Cherbourg: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Remy Bertolabacked Nicolai Budkov Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
BNP Paribas Open: Learner Tien vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
BNP Paribas Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
BNP Paribas Open: Arthur Fils vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Austin: Solana Sierra vs Bianca Andreescubacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Austin: Anastasia Zakharova vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$10.06
BNP Paribas Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$33.23
Kigali: Joel Schwaerzler vs Stefano Napolitanobacked Joel Schwaerzler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
BNP Paribas Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Corentin Moutetbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+37%+$36.97
BNP Paribas Open: Jaqueline Cristian vs Maya Jointbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$5.15
Thionville: Sebastian Ofner vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$184.15
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT3737.8%14 W · 23 L-8.1wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-43.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.21
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Warriors vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Pelicans vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$132.12
Bulls vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$51.52
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.04
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.93
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$88.79
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$80.32
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$42.37
Clippers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$58.33
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.7%+$219.52
Trail Blazers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Mavericks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,082Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,082.26
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$544Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$211.62
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Will Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$53.85
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+35.1%+$8.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-03-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$87.44
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$950Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$950
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,683Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$567.55
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,570.25
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$293.11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$462.27
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$18.97
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+29.9%+$80.65
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,200
Will Albacete Balompié vs. UD Almería end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+212.5%+$21.25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+144.7%+$26.04
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Andre Fili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.05
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$25
UFC 326: Rob Font vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Rob Font · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.15
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Michael Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Gregory Rodrigues vs. Brunno Ferreira (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brunno Ferreira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 326: Cody Garbrandt vs. Xiao Long (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Cody Garbrandt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+185.7%+$37.14
UFC 326: Ricky Turcios vs. Alberto Montes (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Alberto Montes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+56.3%+$28.13
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$237.95
UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Cháirez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
UFC Fight Night: Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Uros Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$70.57
UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Ige · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 11 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$242.94
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$300
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$103.03
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Pisa SC vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$43.54
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+105.7%+$232.61
Will US Cremonese vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$917Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$411.95
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. FC Metz end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$100.07
Will FC Metz vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,440Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$677.65
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$14.23
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$131.02
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$807Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$241.18
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+40.9%+$456
All 9 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.