TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Knicks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,101,413

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,101,413 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,933 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Clippers47c421,443$200,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,442.7236549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers47c224,695$105,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119,206.7672648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Knicks53c198,421$105,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,162.5623257.8%134 W · 98 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Clippers46c193,000$88,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,220.853560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks54c133,326$71,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,490.311,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks55c110,000$60,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,498.7240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eef…3fcbbacked Knicks54c100,000$54,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,488.3211955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Knicks53c94,339$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,999.6743542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Knicks31c84,647$26,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,194.1223147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks14c69,760$10,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,076.044,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Knicks53c68,701$36,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,335.496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks52c62,246$32,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,598.084,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Knicks53c51,722$27,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,558.41,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks53c50,000$26,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,5001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d5c…4302backed Knicks56c48,191$26,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,986.8610952.3%57 W · 52 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Clippers46c43,232$19,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,345.1360351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks53c42,800$22,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,68459347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2580…1d56backed Knicks42c40,940$17,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,00011737.6%44 W · 73 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Knicks56c40,857$22,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,879.6122453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks55c39,419$21,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,694.12,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Knicks14c37,859$5,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,473.911,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Knicks53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,90038251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Knicks0c30,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b1…968abacked Clippers44c26,684$11,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,826.884143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks0c26,528$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.61,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Knicks48c24,949$11,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,911.831,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Knicks53c24,692$13,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,086.7521549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks52c24,380$12,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,740.289,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee96…d914backed Knicks55c20,983$11,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,539.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Knicks52c20,709$10,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,823.1612951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b20…2106backed Clippers45c20,672$9,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,369.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Clippers46c20,125$9,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,868.842,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Knicks30c19,718$5,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,961.031,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Clippers46c18,629$8,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,129.271,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Clippers44c18,000$7,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,08074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e0…4b62backed Clippers51c17,701$9,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,600.6152760%316 W · 211 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers44c16,768$7,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,390.3287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Clippers44c16,703$7,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,353.6710035%35 W · 65 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x19be…2541backed Knicks56c16,702$9,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,353.249758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Clippers63c15,202$9,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,623.189444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked Knicks54c15,166$8,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,12010045%45 W · 55 L-9.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Clippers44c14,953$6,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,323.7720454.9%112 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Knicks45c13,633$6,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,071.384259.5%25 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Knicks21c13,551$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,907.455,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8c…cbf3backed Clippers45c13,334$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,334.441241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77d3…f4d6backed Clippers45c12,976$5,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.2829250%146 W · 146 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd47d…c0dcbacked Knicks56c12,900$7,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2241040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbab7…bc7cbacked Clippers44c12,899$5,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,210.399054.4%49 W · 41 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Clippers58c12,795$7,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,384.623,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks55c12,774$7,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,068.851354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Knicks57c12,000$6,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,799.9932039.4%126 W · 194 L-1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Clippers45c11,781$5,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,445.148648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70d2…b48ebacked Clippers45c11,778$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,477.78850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Knicks16c11,387$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8499336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Knicks6c11,241$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.4414856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers54c11,231$6,098 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,132.721,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Knicks1c10,827$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10113346.6%62 W · 71 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…abb4backed Knicks1c10,172$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.84728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Clippers48c10,000$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,2006155.7%34 W · 27 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+50.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Knicks54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Clippers79c9,689$7,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,034.7831453.5%168 W · 146 L+0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers45c9,574$4,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,276.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Knicks22c9,568$2,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,090.7826353.6%141 W · 122 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Knicks25c9,564$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,371.318440.5%34 W · 50 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Knicks33c9,438$3,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,109.472,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Clippers68c8,902$6,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,847.6542348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Clippers79c8,709$6,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,847.7437557.6%216 W · 159 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Knicks4c8,500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3208429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Clippers67c8,407$5,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,774.31250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Knicks54c8,211$4,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,433.21233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Knicks44c8,075$3,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,521.3924151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Knicks37c7,925$2,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,904.731931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-46%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Clippers76c7,714$5,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,856.9742335.9%152 W · 271 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1d…3846backed Knicks56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2006943.5%30 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ceb…7dfbbacked Clippers44c7,500$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,199.972646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x175e…49b4backed Knicks54c7,407$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks54c7,047$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.943,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers45c7,000$3,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.9858449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Knicks44c6,887$3,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.3225945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Clippers45c6,814$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,747.7741832.8%137 W · 281 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Knicks3c6,700$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.73179.5%30 W · 287 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-59.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b77…ee2cbacked Clippers79c6,618$5,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.743070%21 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Clippers46c6,523$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,523.4610523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2857…6485backed Knicks1c6,523$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8540%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Knicks55c6,359$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.6817550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers45c6,232$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.781,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb525…bdc7backed Knicks47c6,030$2,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,859.717447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Knicks54c6,000$3,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,24047043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Knicks15c6,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92013128.2%37 W · 94 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Knicks17c5,882$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa03e…231dbacked Knicks55c5,713$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,142.15580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Knicks46c5,686$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,620.2316146%74 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Clippers62c5,575$3,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,093.878,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks49c5,467$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,661.341,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Knicks55c5,455$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00018749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3135…26a0backed Clippers45c5,428$2,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,986.084360.5%26 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0624…e4e7backed Knicks16c5,355$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$850728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Knicks1c5,229$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.945050%25 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks49c5,083$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50028245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.