NBA · resolved market
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1180b72d18ee4f154c003cbdbc340fd936152bfc23ec6f0662530d9160b9cf60
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,165 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5302…0a6fbacked Yes | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked No | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 42c | 427.27$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…2a33backed No | 42c | 275.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.83 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…6fd5backed Yes | 65c | 154.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 42c | 126$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd060…a966backed No | 39c | 114.87$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed No | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 59c | 51.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2782…f029backed No | 42c | 47.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 40c | 36.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8a…5214backed Yes | 62c | 32.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 58c | 31.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 42c | 23.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 268 | 39.2%105 W · 163 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5this page
- Bennedict Mathurin: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Brook Lopez: Rebounds O/U 4.5No won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Darius Garland: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
- Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Knicks vs. ClippersClippers won
- Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H MoneylineClippers won
- Knicks vs. Clippers: 1H O/U 112.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5Over won
- Kris Dunn: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Clippers won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Clippers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.