TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,777

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,777 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x960c…4a4ebacked Under0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c4,466$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.864,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under46c2,910$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.764,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under46c1,886$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.464,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Over65c1,840$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.6216848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over53c1,589$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.836,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under34c1,483$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.773,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over55c1,335$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.5540451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over54c786.98$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.39,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c727.24$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.631,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under54c595.14$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.421,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over53c569$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.4312536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over51c521.57$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5747651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Under38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19018743.3%81 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under34c442.09$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.231,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under48c436.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.062,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under46c434.78$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8c…dfbebacked Over52c384.79$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.792744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under40c318.34$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.942,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over52c307.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6952146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under42c275.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.711,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cc…021dbacked Over69c271.89$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa558…dc8cbacked Over53c248.38$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.272236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under47c208.81$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.153,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10838242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3143447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Over58c188.51$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8626839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over61c175.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.188,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over69c174.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8695452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb961…b69ebacked Over66c146.76$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.091250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9001…5eadbacked Over72c146.31$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c10…829bbacked Over71c139$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9410270.6%72 W · 30 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Over55c133.96$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2415534.2%53 W · 102 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e55…be6fbacked Over55c132.18$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.484037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under46c131.67$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.571,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Over44c127.27$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2791846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x266d…083fbacked Over52c115.56$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.475664.3%36 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over53c113.4$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.410955%60 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over48c103.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.692,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Under27c102.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7937848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5028056.8%159 W · 121 L+22.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Under47c97.15$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6651146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.151,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under49c88.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.272,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over75c82.13$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.743,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb31e…11f3backed Under49c82.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa93…0bc7backed Under15c80$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223047.4%109 W · 121 L+19.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under51c78.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4723657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Under41c69.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6155751.9%289 W · 268 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80bd…1f70backed Over72c69.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.462951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under46c56.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.63,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Under29c56.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4510623.6%25 W · 81 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9770…d57dbacked Under34c55.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Over52c54.68$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2537253.5%199 W · 173 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed81…acefbacked Under55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb568…14d4backed Over60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2027747.7%132 W · 145 L-20.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9db2…cc8cbacked Over61c49.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0217153.8%92 W · 79 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Under47c47.16$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0210943.1%47 W · 62 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.457048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Under47c45.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3135843.6%156 W · 202 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25e7…51d6backed Over55c43.85$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.737145.1%32 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under54c43$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1387744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Over62c42.2$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.196746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c2…cf66backed Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205841.4%24 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Under44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.573135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc42…01b2backed Over53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3911651.7%60 W · 56 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-13.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under47c37$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3952230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Over54c36.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8711652.6%61 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Under31c33.11$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.275036%18 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under46c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1846447.8%222 W · 242 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over55c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.171,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6719166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Over64c26.56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5618459.2%109 W · 75 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Over62c25.06$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.525959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23bf…5a50backed Over67c24.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.172254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85b1…4814backed Over62c24.68$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32035%7 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-27.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over54c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1223350.6%118 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…b15cbacked Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.347652.6%40 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Over53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.347050%35 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c21.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1091746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabfc…173ebacked Over75c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.012272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Over58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.410558.1%61 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over54c19.62$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0395047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.