TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Knicks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,672

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbddf…c684backed Clippers49c128,282$62,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65,424.0772648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Knicks51c82,171$41,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,977.282,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Knicks0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Knicks51c19,608$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,999.9617251.7%89 W · 83 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Knicks51c14,497$7,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,393.4748352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Knicks51c5,922$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,02041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Knicks51c5,746$2,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,930.1385742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Knicks53c5,000$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers47c5,000$2,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,649.991,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f09…9312backed Clippers49c4,103$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,102.859547.4%45 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Knicks53c3,421$1,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,815.0451354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Knicks51c2,512$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Knicks52c2,241$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.1480737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Knicks54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08041553.3%221 W · 194 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Knicks48c1,664$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.333,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers48c1,655$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.493,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers65c1,445$938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.972,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks51c1,383$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.769,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Knicks51c1,353$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.841,16352.8%614 W · 549 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c50…ec06backed Clippers47c1,300$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers47c1,260$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc6…e81ebacked Knicks54c1,150$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Clippers48c1,109$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.926,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Knicks51c1,048$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8636143.5%157 W · 204 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bcc…4324backed Clippers47c997.83$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$533.8352844.7%236 W · 292 L+1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Knicks1c930.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2539943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63f4…dafdbacked Knicks54c900$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Knicks51c878.43$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44823850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers51c809.87$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.361,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…f6dcbacked Clippers48c704.17$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.178647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Clippers59c598.97$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.41,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Knicks52c584.4$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8921045.2%95 W · 115 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Clippers47c504.46$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.362,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Knicks48c476.6$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23095452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Clippers48c466.33$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.532,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Clippers51c463.83$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.9426839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…e032backed Knicks51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019045.8%87 W · 103 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Clippers48c380.51$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Clippers49c370$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.721549.8%107 W · 108 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…94e9backed Clippers48c338.77$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1622746.3%105 W · 122 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…a6efbacked Knicks46c329.57$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0707…310abacked Knicks31c321.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.686746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks53c312.02$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.331,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks51c296$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.881,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Clippers48c295.47$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8714046.4%65 W · 75 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Knicks51c294.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Knicks51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Clippers49c286.09$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.0933554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Knicks13c206$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7214636.3%53 W · 93 L+16.4wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+58.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x434e…a62ebacked Knicks51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffe1…3559backed Knicks53c189.04$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001020%2 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa8f1…d87bbacked Clippers49c183.8$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.3915752.2%82 W · 75 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9e…eb82backed Clippers50c156.12$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2534248.8%167 W · 175 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Knicks52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8531947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Clippers48c133.09$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2876552.9%405 W · 360 L-2.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Clippers48c118.62$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6891148.1%438 W · 473 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Knicks53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033246.1%153 W · 179 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks51c110.48$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.674,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Knicks52c100.09$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.53,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9280…99b4backed Knicks44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Clippers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5240541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Knicks51c98.23$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Knicks51c98.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0364944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Knicks51c97.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9267248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Clippers49c97.78$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.879451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Knicks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x859c…38e4backed Clippers49c93.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.751747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Clippers67c91.29$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.733,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers67c86.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.261,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45d2…22fbbacked Knicks53c85.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4511348.7%55 W · 58 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1adb…f12abacked Knicks53c83.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.515345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0b3…091cbacked Clippers48c83.07$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.238251.2%42 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Knicks49c81.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Clippers48c80.75$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.083,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Knicks51c78.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Clippers48c75.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1611943.7%52 W · 67 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Clippers48c73.09$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…eaecbacked Knicks53c72.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.462050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Clippers49c67$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2146940.3%189 W · 280 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Clippers46c64.8$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.183,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks46c61.4$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.098,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c00…741dbacked Clippers50c60.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Knicks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013651.5%70 W · 66 L-15.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-14.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Clippers49c58.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.879558.9%56 W · 39 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+27.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed Clippers48c56.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5217953.1%95 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee0…e158backed Clippers48c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.6wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Clippers48c50.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7729645.6%135 W · 161 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49dd…a40bbacked Clippers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514555.2%80 W · 65 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Clippers50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0515347.1%72 W · 81 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Clippers48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.0123946.4%111 W · 128 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Knicks40c44.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.831,28323.4%300 W · 983 L-178.2wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-40.2%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xca20…7b68backed Clippers50c42.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2924652.8%130 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7fe…5a93backed Clippers48c41.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.753237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Clippers50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.211342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…2da7backed Clippers48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.81855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Knicks34c39$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.252053.3%277 W · 243 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Knicks51c37.25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1919543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Clippers47c36.76$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.482,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Clippers47c30.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.32,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0b…4d31backed Knicks53c30.57$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.210252%53 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.