TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 18.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,419 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No46c10,027$4,571 inLost-$4,571.029348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes54c5,171$2,793 inWon+$2,378.881,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes55c5,000$2,741 inWon+$2,258.8577348.5%375 W · 398 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes55c670.96$366 inWon+$305.174,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Yes55c363.63$200 inWon+$163.6318147%85 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed No45c355.56$160 inLost-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dd0…ee95backed No45c333.33$150 inLost-$1506137.7%23 W · 38 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed No46c239.13$110 inLost-$11019950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No43c218.86$94 inLost-$94.111,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d54…a756backed Yes57c175$100 inWon+$75.255942.4%25 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes55c147.98$81 inWon+$66.591,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…176bbacked No45c89$40 inLost-$40.057048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No46c88.8$41 inLost-$40.851,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No46c88.8$41 inLost-$40.8564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f2c…9374backed No45c55.56$25 inLost-$252040%8 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4729…8cfdbacked No46c54.35$25 inLost-$255139.2%20 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb83d…3aa2backed Yes57c43.86$25 inWon+$18.8624042.9%103 W · 137 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf56e…a853backed Yes37c40$15 inWon+$25.34393%40 W · 3 L+12.5wins+0.29per pick64cpaid+65.4%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x558c…150abacked Yes77c35.58$27 inWon+$8.273284.4%27 W · 5 L+10.6wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+232.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed No46c32.61$15 inLost-$151,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No45c28.87$13 inLost-$12.991,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10a7…97d4backed Yes55c27.27$15 inWon+$12.272360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.