TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$652,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $652,128 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 279 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Over51c195,000$99,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95,620.4560351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under50c146,343$73,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,203.9787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Under49c110,607$54,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,173.1423147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c96,449$48,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,936.234,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c57,934$28,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,964.651,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Under50c40,058$19,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,921.491,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Under50c40,016$20,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over51c19,356$9,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,478.552,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under49c16,531$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over51c15,685$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,685.851,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Under0c15,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under49c14,543$7,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,093.4537747.5%179 W · 198 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under50c10,109$5,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,031.422,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c9,511$4,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,66041649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under49c8,600$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,21421653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c8,472$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,151.231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over52c6,861$3,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.713,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c6,192$3,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,106.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under50c5,963$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00038946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4398…2c1bbacked Under49c5,910$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Over51c5,760$2,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.9527455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Under49c5,747$2,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,815.8129652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under49c5,539$2,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,694.1129748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over52c5,266$2,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.9145850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c5,010$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.72,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c4,844$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,299.654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c4,193$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,097.5269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008154.3%44 W · 37 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c21…9b8abacked Under49c4,059$1,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9892740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c3,859$1,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,89170246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.151,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under49c3,700$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over52c3,665$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,776.638251%195 W · 187 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabde…d41fbacked Over52c3,618$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.8941947.7%200 W · 219 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over51c3,279$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,621.464,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7d4…b415backed Over51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over57c2,629$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,129.191,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under51c2,600$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325.9622055%121 W · 99 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Over52c2,500$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.414448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c2,366$1,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.338,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Over50c2,264$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.9251354.2%278 W · 235 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c2,257$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.534851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over50c2,201$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.843,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b60…9c7ebacked Over49c2,034$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.8722643.8%99 W · 127 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Over52c1,912$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.4330453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Under49c1,901$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.424557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b4…7056backed Under49c1,718$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under49c1,667$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.76,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over51c1,646$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.651,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under50c1,600$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80064651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6db4…91e2backed Under49c1,544$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.561855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under48c1,458$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.832,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over49c1,429$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.5749246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Over49c1,365$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.2144252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c1,264$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.735,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Over75c1,262$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.9232952.9%174 W · 155 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c1,246$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.922,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c1,182$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.963,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa041…f9d5backed Under49c1,155$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.952147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Under53c1,100$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.9920651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under1c1,026$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.339943.1%172 W · 227 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48026149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Under48c1,000$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.8515240.8%62 W · 90 L-12.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over49c989.37$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5854443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under48c977.34$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.452,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over52c963.33$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under49c961.79$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.912,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under49c906.47$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4449952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe393…f016backed Over53c900$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42014059.3%83 W · 57 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under49c895.19$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.981349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c831.52$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.992,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c799.98$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.9984342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over52c779.93$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4826756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Under50c722.38$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.718143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over51c682.5$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.522447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under40c682.4$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.521,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c674.12$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.412,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Over52c664.97$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.631354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e7…884cbacked Over52c657.05$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.3816338.7%63 W · 100 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2412536%45 W · 80 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Over49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.2412951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.2425155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over49c536.24$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.2460346.4%280 W · 323 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under57c527.68$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.222,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over50c525.72$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.0978648.7%383 W · 403 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under49c407.31$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.551,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a10…8b30backed Over66c400$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.6850239%196 W · 306 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e45…4b13backed Under51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020569.3%142 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Under45c385.23$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.191846.2%424 W · 494 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4630…1968backed Over51c376.44$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.0812650%63 W · 63 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ee1…f616backed Under52c370$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1217…7cf5backed Under48c351$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over52c346.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5989853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Under61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056154.5%306 W · 255 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Under37c322.36$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9b5…850fbacked Over56c322.29$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.29771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb781…9ba9backed Over64c313.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0112047.5%57 W · 63 L-6.7wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c308.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.