TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Knicks vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$567,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $567,177 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 334 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Under52c66,720$34,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,850.6187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c33,041$15,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,373.44,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x960c…4a4ebacked Under0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206643.9%29 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over49c14,433$7,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,362.62,66648%1,279 W · 1,387 L-8.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,965$5,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,210.449,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d3…a1f8backed Under52c11,774$6,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,122.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd20d…c0ecbacked Over48c11,242$5,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,845.844100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+107.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf5cb…7e2fbacked Over48c10,362$4,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+55.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b9d…b885backed Over48c10,304$4,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,358.08580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+64.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aee…cd72backed Over48c10,244$4,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,326.88785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+76.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8505…a181backed Over48c10,103$4,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.565100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f3f…84c2backed Over48c10,036$4,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,218.724100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7686…122ebacked Over48c10,001$4,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,200.524100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2095…0e38backed Under52c9,789$5,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,090.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2c1abacked Over48c9,754$4,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,072.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+71.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f4a…9c5fbacked Under52c9,606$4,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,995.12757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+28%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01af…bec5backed Under52c9,502$4,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,941.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd226…2c2abacked Under52c9,496$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7294…41c1backed Over48c9,494$4,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,936.88560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e84…9809backed Over48c9,457$4,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,917.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9871…369bbacked Over48c9,454$4,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,916.086100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x27cc…868bbacked Under52c9,440$4,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29ec…5353backed Under52c9,290$4,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,830.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x316d…c414backed Over48c9,252$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,811.04875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+53.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bcf…9857backed Under52c9,219$4,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,793.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e7…f957backed Over48c9,196$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,781.925100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b8b…894dbacked Over48c9,167$4,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,766.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+38.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbf…ff7cbacked Over48c9,109$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,736.68757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc324…5545backed Over48c9,108$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,735.985100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf81…8196backed Under52c9,094$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a2…c0d7backed Under52c9,094$4,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,728.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb760…c794backed Over48c9,083$4,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,723.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c1f…3e4cbacked Under52c9,062$4,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,712.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c9…739cbacked Under52c9,030$4,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x139c…36dbbacked Under52c9,011$4,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,685.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f98…f693backed Under52c8,997$4,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,678.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4062…655ebacked Under52c8,944$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…329abacked Over51c8,870$4,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,346.755750.9%29 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cbc…8f42backed Under52c8,809$4,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,580.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5489…4f14backed Under52c8,756$4,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,553.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae5f…6659backed Over48c8,555$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.6475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9166…feacbacked Under52c8,386$4,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,360.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0054…7481backed Over48c8,353$4,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.566100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9e7d…dfa4backed Over48c8,350$4,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,342955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x998d…3b3abacked Under52c8,235$4,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,282.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c0…9b7cbacked Under52c8,171$4,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x610f…46c0backed Under52c8,148$4,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,236.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7894…9246backed Under52c8,111$4,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,217.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ec98backed Under52c8,104$4,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,214.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef67…5632backed Under52c8,048$4,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,184.96450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8368…def4backed Over48c8,033$3,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,176.984100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x40ec…e875backed Under52c7,948$4,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,132.96650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8222…035cbacked Over48c7,879$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,097.085100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x30fe…ff6bbacked Under52c7,648$3,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,976.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38ef…1d64backed Under52c7,602$3,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,953.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0e3…e59abacked Over48c7,581$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,942.12580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+57.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78bf…f0ccbacked Over48c7,486$3,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,892.72966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1d1…f036backed Under52c7,165$3,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,725.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eb0…a28dbacked Over48c7,122$3,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,703.44650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbd…5198backed Under52c7,115$3,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,699.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf075…53f4backed Under52c6,815$3,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,543.8540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a64…f323backed Under52c6,787$3,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,529.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x906a…fde7backed Under52c6,629$3,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,447.08650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd47a…e082backed Under52c6,615$3,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,439.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a5…85efbacked Over48c5,988$2,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,113.76771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+45.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5b8…d796backed Over48c5,937$2,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,087.24683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dfe…9dd7backed Under52c5,832$3,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,032.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Under49c5,656$2,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,772.4328643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0af1…8e59backed Over48c5,509$2,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,864.686100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5c7f…800ebacked Under52c5,450$2,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,834450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57c…018fbacked Over48c5,416$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,816.32875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44db…14aabacked Over48c5,406$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,811.12666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e89…0541backed Over48c5,321$2,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.92771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick55cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23b6…3eeebacked Under52c5,250$2,730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7303046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb840…3859backed Over48c5,167$2,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,686.847100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+102.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5574…fd49backed Under52c5,115$2,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x563e…7dfcbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69ca…9ef8backed Under53c4,977$2,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,626.7328554.7%156 W · 129 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd935…629ebacked Over48c4,926$2,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x451d…cf0bbacked Under52c4,340$2,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.8450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca6…d765backed Over48c4,064$1,951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.28683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe09c…b3f2backed Under52c3,850$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafff…49c8backed Over48c3,769$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,959.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6364…5741backed Over48c3,726$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.526100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe27d…cb29backed Over48c3,710$1,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,929.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3181…18ddbacked Over48c3,641$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,893.32966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb000…9e48backed Over48c3,538$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,839.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b6c…21babacked Under52c3,441$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,789.32450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c3,379$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,701.034,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c3,355$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.491,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa8…20a0backed Over48c3,142$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.841566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed4f…9b8ebacked Under52c2,889$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f6e…8e15backed Over48c2,829$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.08450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over48c2,780$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,440.082,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa102…662ebacked Under52c2,765$1,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,437.8955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a90…4226backed Over48c2,728$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.56560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2abb…ecc3backed Over48c2,661$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.726100%6 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d3…be51backed Over48c2,635$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.21070%7 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23ea…81d9backed Over48c2,612$1,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.24757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2120…f3c8backed Over48c2,457$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.64366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.