TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Knicks, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$341,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $341,616 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc660…bd28backed Knicks48c105,306$50,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,546.4859347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Clippers52c61,485$31,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,777.181,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Clippers52c44,928$23,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,565.3187144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Knicks49c40,000$19,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,599.6240446.8%189 W · 215 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Clippers52c39,216$20,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,884.131,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks47c34,912$16,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,562.241,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x59a0…9a09backed Clippers52c21,345$11,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,245.793560%21 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Clippers54c17,215$9,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,961.241,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Knicks47c16,990$8,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,028.2127251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Knicks48c12,514$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00620948.8%102 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Knicks49c12,256$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0059741.2%40 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Clippers53c9,171$4,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,310.4723147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Clippers52c8,000$4,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Clippers52c7,500$3,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,600.21,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks49c6,912$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,352.934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Clippers52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,879.9829748.1%143 W · 154 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Clippers51c6,000$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.8887750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks48c5,693$2,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.012,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Clippers52c5,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,400.2917348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Clippers52c4,890$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.1965750.1%329 W · 328 L+10.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked Clippers53c4,807$2,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,259.537850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Knicks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb886…53f9backed Clippers51c3,919$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,920.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb397…5e43backed Knicks49c3,919$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.3120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Knicks48c3,835$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.825049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Clippers52c3,535$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,696.981,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5077…4e7cbacked Clippers52c3,460$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,657.959733%32 W · 65 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Knicks46c3,300$1,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51828245.4%128 W · 154 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Clippers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Knicks48c2,917$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40038750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Clippers52c2,896$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,390.0564944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…87bdbacked Clippers53c2,854$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.514860.4%29 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Knicks48c2,694$1,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.211,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Knicks48c2,652$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.883636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Clippers53c2,518$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.73259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c2,176$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.356,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Knicks48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.841,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Clippers53c2,000$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.9914448.6%70 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Clippers51c1,862$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.53,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c1,586$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.534,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks47c1,523$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Clippers53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Knicks48c1,435$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.4230452.6%160 W · 144 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Knicks46c1,303$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.382,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…121dbacked Knicks48c1,240$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2131551.7%163 W · 152 L-1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks36c1,211$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.148,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a94…822cbacked Knicks48c1,050$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50521355.9%119 W · 94 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4113…e904backed Knicks48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005048%24 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6e…1a11backed Knicks48c1,009$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.03850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.1950954.8%279 W · 230 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Clippers52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Clippers53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Knicks47c866.47$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.6126839.2%105 W · 163 L-0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Clippers52c769.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8116162.7%101 W · 60 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Clippers53c755.87$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.8746258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Clippers51c645.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.944,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Knicks48c625.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021950.2%110 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Clippers53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.4749345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a97…c1f9backed Knicks49c522.87$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.0317960.9%109 W · 70 L+17.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Knicks48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfaa…3858backed Knicks49c510.42$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Clippers60c499.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.911245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Knicks42c495.59$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.381,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95fe…3896backed Clippers53c472.59$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5917046.5%79 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…c55abacked Clippers53c462.11$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.144557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7691…7af7backed Knicks47c427.85$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005644.6%25 W · 31 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+31%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Knicks48c427.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20527746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Knicks48c417.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Knicks48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc24a…ed17backed Knicks49c409.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Knicks49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Knicks48c400.8$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19241742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf09f…8049backed Clippers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.2966645.9%306 W · 360 L-11.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3f5…8284backed Clippers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Clippers52c391.32$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e8c…cbf3backed Clippers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc423…2ccdbacked Clippers53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3610854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6dc…ab58backed Knicks48c373$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0710251%52 W · 50 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Knicks48c360.94$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.251,63448.1%786 W · 848 L+5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a9…642dbacked Clippers54c352.44$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1218143.1%78 W · 103 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x18ca…6413backed Knicks49c342.86$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1683638.9%14 W · 22 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd947…9b61backed Knicks48c338$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2428751.9%149 W · 138 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Knicks48c334.03$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Knicks48c302.49$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.28353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f0…923bbacked Knicks14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14445646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef0…f14cbacked Knicks14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+138.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Clippers51c299.98$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.9961747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f49…fec0backed Knicks47c293.32$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8637848.7%184 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0439…3f80backed Clippers53c280.72$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.228742.5%37 W · 50 L-7.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe170…afacbacked Clippers52c278.97$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.971855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Clippers67c274.42$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.822,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Knicks48c272.16$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.4537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Clippers53c266.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.91,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Knicks49c232.65$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11419543.1%84 W · 111 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43a6…96c1backed Knicks49c229.85$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.631266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5302…0a6fbacked Clippers52c218.78$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.811957.1%68 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Clippers53c218.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.5757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…0ddbbacked Knicks47c216.1$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.21127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1b7…5383backed Clippers52c213.76$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.681060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 23 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.