TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc423…2ccd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
721
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT52444.1%231 W · 293 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 524 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on July 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+125.8%+$31.45
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.6
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$55.65
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+151.5%+$37.89
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+177%+$44.24
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+123.8%+$30.95
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+154.1%+$38.53
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+136.6%+$34.15
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+243.4%+$60.84
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+185.3%+$46.32
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+201%+$100.5
Showing 25 of 524 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10854.6%59 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.77
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$267.71
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$156.08
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$101.67
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.5
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.4
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.91
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$162.5
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$183.33
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$64.29
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$127.77
Magic vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+556%+$850.66
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.91
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$67.39
Nets vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Pistons vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 234.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.99
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+48.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.2
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.01
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.07
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.72
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+560.4%+$99.83
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+513.6%+$241.74
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$83.4
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$53.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-63.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.82
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$17.66
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+100.3%+$56.09
FC Andorra vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$599.67
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$432.43
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.94
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.67
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$46.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-1.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 139.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-4.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.99
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-49.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-42%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+189.9%+$59.54
Maple Leafs vs. Devilsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$39.55
Golden Knights vs. Sabresbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
All 5 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$46.62
ACF Fiorentina vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$37.42
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$37.67
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BNP Paribas Open: Diane Parry vs Venus Williamsbacked Venus Williams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$35.95
BNP Paribas Open: Terence Atmane vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$28.55
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+656%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+656%+$361.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
PSV vs. AZ: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.32
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.