MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd71a82e744e24f070a68a9a38ef7a9cddad0fafffbad0a31fc2ce7d116e0bba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,824
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,824 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 23,190$13,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,412.64 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd2…1c0cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 18,286$7,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,605.71 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 17,242$7,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,937.99 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 4,316$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,503.12 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 2,683$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.91 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 1,986$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.97 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 1,296$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.85 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 903.98$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 773.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.33 | 293 | 44.7%131 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 455.47$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.49 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 371.62$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.54 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…6b95backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 371.43$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 357.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 288.42$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.91 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 271.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb551…8043backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 230$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.1 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 210.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.23 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 195.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 173.65$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.67 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 45c | 155.75$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a8…b852backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 144.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 143.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.86 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Milwaukee Brewers | 14c | 125.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.14 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 110.89$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…c2e0backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3129…22edbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago White Sox | 78c | 90.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.54 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 72.75$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox | 24c | 72.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago White Sox | 57c | 67.42$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 67.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b65…6518backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe46d…8b87backed Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 60.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 59.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe832…7abbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 52c | 50.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 46.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.02 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.36per pick | 54cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xab33…cf5dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfb…e01fbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 42.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago White Sox | 24c | 42.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…bbaebacked Chicago White Sox | 59c | 41.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 41.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 36.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Milwaukee Brewers | 31c | 36.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 35.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd831…cc54backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 72c | 31.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 29.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 29.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Chicago White Sox | 58c | 28.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 25.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.