MLB · resolved market
Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a225fd6aa50c2b6a3c833c7fc17607f55450a0f5c00b19295675bcb77d724c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 54c | 77,265$41,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,581.23 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under | 46c | 26,650$12,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,259 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 42cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 46c | 16,497$7,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,588.53 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 14,581$7,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.05 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 46c | 13,116$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.35 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 50c | 12,831$6,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,415.63 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 10,243$4,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,916.82 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Over | 55c | 9,576$5,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.25 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…4385backed Under | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Under | 46c | 5,580$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Under | 45c | 5,420$2,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,414.58 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 3,564$1,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710.72 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 46c | 3,260$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.6 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 3,004$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 53c | 2,000$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.36 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 1,828$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Under | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 51c | 1,700$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.49 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 47c | 1,660$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.05 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 55c | 1,402$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.71 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 48c | 1,337$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.68 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…bd29backed Over | 51c | 1,186$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 50c | 962$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 47c | 941$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.27 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Under | 47c | 934.79$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 46c | 739$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.94 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 599.66$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.86 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 49c | 572.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.92 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Under | 49c | 501.19$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 46c | 487.2$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.11 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 50c | 356.12$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 350.05$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.28 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 46c | 322$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.12 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed Under | 46c | 267.39$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Over | 55c | 247.45$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.35 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 55c | 221.29$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.58 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 49c | 220.18$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.89 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 218.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Under | 48c | 206.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…9a83backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa04…796bbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 48c | 156.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 146$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.02 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 50c | 132.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.81 | 232 | 48.7%113 W · 119 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Under | 49c | 110.49$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 45c | 99.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 97.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 93.62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 49c | 90.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.98 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 65.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 55.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 55c | 55.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 50c | 53.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 48.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 42c | 45.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf98…a5c3backed Under | 48c | 43.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Under | 50c | 41.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb95…a5ccbacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed Under | 50c | 38.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d5…59e2backed Over | 50c | 36.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 55c | 35.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 50c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -23.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97f7…ada9backed Under | 50c | 29.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 48c | 29.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 172 | 44.2%76 W · 96 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 28.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a84…60fabacked Under | 50c | 26.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…747cbacked Under | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -8.1wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 25.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685b…cca8backed Over | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 22.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ff…edfdbacked Over | 55c | 22.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…916fbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…59e1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Over | 60c | 19.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers won
- Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Over won
- NRFI: Chicago White Sox vs. Milwaukee BrewersNo won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.