TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x4662…1d65

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
212
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: WNBA, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 61 out of 100; worst MLB at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT5343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+513.5%+$85.24
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$177.78
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.83
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.77
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.55
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.93
Cavaliers vs. Lakers: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+106.3%+$20.76
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.82
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.93
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.65
Magic vs. Hawksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.5
Spread: Raptors (-4.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.75
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT4736.2%17 W · 30 L-9.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-35.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
MLB — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.24
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.28
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.02
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.8
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.5
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.8
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10.77
Athletics vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.3
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.75
Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.7
Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.4
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.3
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.47
Miami Marlins vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.53
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3455.9%19 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-6.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.92
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$10.94
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.95
Akron Zips vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.64
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5)backed Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Spread: Texas Longhorns (-1.5)backed Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$53.65
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+106.6%+$11.62
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-9.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.18
North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 146.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$11.35
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-17.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+92.3%+$10.8
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20.32
Michigan State Spartans vs. Indiana Hoosiersbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$10.96
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-9.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21.81
Michigan Wolverines vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.58
Spread: Houston Cougars (-2.5)backed Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+85.2%+$10.13
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Duke Blue Devils vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+138.1%+$40.05
Arizona Wildcats vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$188
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.1
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.44
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$329.7
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9.56
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11.15
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.35
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.3
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.49
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.2
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+43%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Golf — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.67
Will Ludvig Aberg finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will Hideki Matsuyama finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$11.12
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.75
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Truist Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$11.29
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$12.87
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+125.7%+$20.12
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Genesis Invitational?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$26.59
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$51.7
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 BMW Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT+150%+$37.5
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1090%9 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick56cpaid+63.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.43
Spread: New York Liberty (-6.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+95.2%+$10.23
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.52
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.35
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)backed Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$11.24
Minnesota Lynx vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 178.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.9
Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$22.95
Aces vs. Mercurybacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$10.21
Liberty vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$10.64
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-66.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+61%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Olympics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Avalanche vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ciryl Gane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick71cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+41.8%+$8.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eigenlayer airdrop by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$219
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.