MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31a70fd9374f3568b4f5a81e3d32af1a11748225745c6f299829e7184cafdaa0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 46,401$16,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,696.89 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 12,695$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.94 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 11,307$4,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,123.38 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 9,419$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,121.44 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 3,947$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.37 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 3,111$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.43 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 2,544$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,585.43 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,800$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.37 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 1,731$1,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.7 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 1,562$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.68 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 1,246$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.53 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 73c | 1,111$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.1 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 936.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.81 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 740.27$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.17 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 600$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 469.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.42 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 460$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.4 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 454$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.56 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 330$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.6 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 40c | 322.87$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.32 | 5,149 | 54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L | +231.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 299.97$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.98 | 194 | 35.6%69 W · 125 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 293.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.88 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…0cc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 265.08$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 259.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 228.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.73 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 224.89$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.68 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 76c | 198.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 191.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 70c | 169.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.04 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 148.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 147.42$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.35 | 134 | 41%55 W · 79 L | -12.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 141.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 80c | 128.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 115.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.8 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 115.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 101.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 101.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.74 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.5 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…23ffbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 394 | 40.9%161 W · 233 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb6…67edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 78.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 78.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 73.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 69.5$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 67.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.74 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 61.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 49.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 48.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 48.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 43.51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 42.43$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4662…1d65backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 28.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -9.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…fd82backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 27.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…2751backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 75c | 13.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.