MLB · resolved market
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e4bcb7258bc5d911b6f3d39835599d385eee0586e679b146397ef21b558460a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Pittsburgh Pirates, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 3,312$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.14 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…a24abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 3,087$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57b1…4b99backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,765$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 1,125$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.86 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 951.96$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.67 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 800$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 799.63$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.81 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…3457backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 771.46$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.3 | 281 | 54.4%153 W · 128 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 740$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 595.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 571.69$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 557.72$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.21 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 499.02$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.81 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 482.55$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.66 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 478$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 363$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.42 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 62c | 324.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.26 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 316.97$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…0e56backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 48.6%101 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 37c | 254.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.75 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 253.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 238.62$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 238.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 731 | 43.4%317 W · 414 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 156$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 139.27$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 362 | 50.3%182 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f55…8956backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 138.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700b…8d0bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 113.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 99.98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.49 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 94$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 105 | 59%62 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…afddbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 35c | 80.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8db0…5b69backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 74.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…f92ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 69.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 58.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 54.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 47.73$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 34c | 43.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 778 | 36%280 W · 498 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f7…a9a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 39.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 348 | 43.4%151 W · 197 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 6,302 | 48.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L | +181.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6d…aeb3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7502backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d2…e9c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae3…93c3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 60 | 65%39 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…2c05backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc69…4724backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.38per pick | 60cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 14.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.