TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb0b…62cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
886
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: NBA, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT79543%342 W · 453 L-3.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 795 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$53.82
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.61
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.77
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.67
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.02
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$107.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$90.62
Cleveland Guardians vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.08
New York Mets vs. Chicago White Soxbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$58.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Boston Red Soxbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.8
Athletics vs. Houston Astrosbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$122.7
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.72
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.22
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+150%+$86.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.02
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.91
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.99
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.97
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.19
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.08
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 795 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT8657%49 W · 37 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Spread: Hawks (-7.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Heat vs. Raptorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.94
Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 236.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 247.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.12
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.15
Spread: Suns (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Spread: Nuggets (-22.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Rockets vs. Suns: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.06
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.17
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$26.89
Spread: Warriors (-14.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.85
Hornets vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$40.34
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 242.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$27.98
Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Bulls vs. Wizards: O/U 250.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$29.1
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$45.4
Spread: Cavaliers (-14.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$41.96
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Spread: Clippers (-13.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$43.65
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.16
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.49
Pacers vs. Cavaliers: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$55.95
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+45.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.